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Strategies & Market Trends : Options 201: Beyond Obi-Wan-Kenobe -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (733)2/22/2003 9:20:53 PM
From: tyc:>  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1064
 
I was "tickled" to figure out how to calculate current "historic volatility" from Bollinger Bands. Perhaps this is something everyone knows, so I will wait for someone to express interest before I give details.

I continue with my pseudo short straddles. Options on Gold stocks like Agnico Eagle have a very high implied volatility. My calculated historic volatility (from bb's) is ` 22% while options imply about 60%. There are FIVE YEAR warrants available on this and other gold stocks... they provide excellent upside protection for short straddles etc. Indeed, I think they would be great for a Calendar spread long..... if you see what I mean. Just buy some warrants and forget 'em.