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To: marginmike who wrote (222777)2/20/2003 9:14:41 AM
From: zonder  Respond to of 436258
 
"Creating inflation is bullish"? Oh so that's why US is threatening to invade Iraq, pushing up oil prices <g>

To those of you who think Bush knows zip about economy - there!



To: marginmike who wrote (222777)2/20/2003 9:19:09 AM
From: JRI  Respond to of 436258
 
(bullish) not necessarily..the problem is that producers have no pricing power...so coupling inflation w/that means lower earnings= lower stock prices.

Refinancing "effect" is not linear, and the broad part of the curve is already past (IMO), (heavy re-financing last 2 yrs, that money spent already) and the remaining effect is negligible compared to offsets of foreign funds fleeing (to better "stores" of value/returns, Euro/gold- from US equities). Ask an elderly person who freakin' out right now about their income stream....they have likely cut their spending, etc...

This sounds like stag-flation to me (inflation but no real pick up in demand)...that's a sucky economic world..



To: marginmike who wrote (222777)2/20/2003 11:06:35 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
<<There is alot of truth in that Everyone has refinanced, creating inflation to make that debt cheaper realitive to income is indeed bullish in at leats the st-it>>

A little inflation is good...if the PPI and the CPI go to 6% plus, it'll crush bonds and mortgage activity, kill the housing bubble and smash the dollar. Gold will do well, though....<G>

Got Argentinian business model?