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To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (173142)	2/20/2003 2:15:31 PM
From: chomolungma	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 186894

Overestimation of Iraqi resistance There's the old saying that you should never underestimate the enemy, but we probably are doing the opposite again. In the desert, the Iraqi army will fold just like it did in GW1. Baghdad will be surrounded within days. At that point it may get trickier, but visions of urban warfare and massive U.S. casualties, I believe, are unfounded. We have the technology to cutoff communications and the Iraqi army will be in the dark. 80% of them don't want to fight anyway and you'll see mass desertions. I think it will be quicker than anyone thinks.

To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (173142)	2/20/2003 2:16:35 PM
From: GVTucker	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 186894

Anti-war protests. I see a lot of them now, with thousands, sometimes millions participating. In '91 there weren't 1/100th that many participants. Overestimation of Iraqi resistance. Back then we did indeed overestimate Iraqi resistance. We never heard the words "Republcian Guard" without them preceded by "elite". Today I don't think you can find one single analyst, or any informed individual that gives Iraq any chance at all. You'll get better odds taking North Carolina A&T to win the NCAA men's basketball championship than you will that Iraq can prevail this time around against us. Suspicions of America's oil interest. I'll give you that one. But it isn't as if that's ever changed. A Bush in the White House. Just because the last name's the same doesn't mean anything else is the same. Bush fils carries out policies that are much more consistent with Reagan than his father, free trade notwithstanding. Economic recession. We were in a recession during the buildup to Desert Storm. We aren't now. We might go into one after this war begins, though. And that's a pretty significant difference. OK, you've done pretty well establishing my point about things being different, how about citing some more of those similarities? edit: Wait let me guess. Hussein has a secretary named Dubya, and Bush has a secretary named Saddam. Right?