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To: TobagoJack who wrote (29003)2/20/2003 10:10:22 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 74559
 
<Are we so fortunate that we see the truth, or are we doomed ;0?>

Both, we get to live in mansions, drive fast cars, and vacation where ever and whenever we want.... but then it's doomed to be taken away by our broke[n] government.

DAK



To: TobagoJack who wrote (29003)2/20/2003 10:28:06 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
1989: Elmat trashes Intelectual Property
Please bear with me, I haven't proof read the material that has languished for over twelve years on my C Drive. Whenever you read President Bush, it measn the father of the present Bush in the White House.
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

Under pressure from the U.S. pharmaceutical industry and other MNC (multinationals Corporations) lobbies, Mrs. Carla Hills is in­sisting that an international agreement on trade related intellectual property rights-or Trips- will be the key to the success of the current round of world trade talks in Geneva...Companies worldwide lose up to $60 billion annually according to U.S. estimates, as a result of counterfeit goods or the unauthorised pro­duction of items embodying ideas or technology owned by others.
The so-called punishment to LDCs (Low Developed Countries) that don’t grant patents is plain talking. “Payment of royalties for pharmaceuticals patents wouldn’t amount to more than $6 million. During the period the U.S.. retaliated against Brazilian paper, menthe, eletro-electronics Brazil lost $400 million in exports.” O Estado de São Paulo, Jul. 4, 1990. Retaliation is a non-tariff barries. Moreover Americans are fighting for Japan, “As Japan overhauls the U.S. technol­ogy lead, it stands to gain most from the strains that the intellectual property issue will cause to Washington’s relations with the developing countries. This will be a gift to the U.S.’s most serious competitor.

Development economists cites the fact that LDCs have had the advantage of being late comers. Stating that the transfers of technology from developed countries permitted LDCs to use this technology without going through the costly and difficult process of generating it. Stewart, F.,Technology and Underdevelopment, London, Macmillan, 1977.
Several of today’s developed countries only adopted patent systems when they reached an advanced level of economic development. Due the lack of patent protection technological development didn’t stopped in the late 19th century.
"An American firm, it is said, will devise a new machine, and an export of the machine itself, or of its products, will set in. Then some German will buy a specimen and reproduce the machine in his own coun­try...not only will the exports cease but the machine itself will be operated in Germany by low-paid labor; and the articles made by its aid will be sent back to the U.S. Shoe machinery and knitting machinery have been cited.Taussig 1915, Cited in Cooper, Richard, . "Technology and U.S. Trade: A Historical Review." In Technology and International Trade, Washington D.C. National Academy of Engineering, 1971.
"... the British government tried by prohibiting the export of machines, but to no avail. Locomotives in particular were reproduced at such a rate that a whole industry was quickly formed. During these trans­fers foreign experts were hired, or local technicians were sent out to study the inventions. In 1872 Carnegie visited Bessemer steelworks in England to study the production methods used there. Upon his return to the U.S. he evidently applied them with success: the rise of American steel industry dates from this period. American steel production increased so rapidly that in 1900 the output of American furnaces was almost double that of Britain and France. The British and German technicians travelled to the U.S. to discover how labor productivity had been trebled there. Gruber, W. H., Factors in the Transfer of Technology, Cambridge, 1969
Mutual contact between countries setting up specific industries and copying techniques originated elsewhere has been a crucial factor in the development of Western economies." The latest late comer is Sweden, which until the end of the last war was still largely dependent on forestry and mining. It has since generated great wealth with the erection of an industrial apparatus based in foreign technology, and presently occupies one of top positions in the income-per-head table."
Peter Drucker writes: “The creative innovator exploits the success of others. Creative imitation is not ; ‘innovation’ is in the sense in which the term is most commonly understood. The creative imitator doesn't invent a product or service; he perfects and positions it.” Drucker, P., Innovation and Entrepreneurship, London, Heinemann, 1985.
“The West German firm Siemens AG, typifies this valuable knack for capitalize on technological ad­vances made by others. Its 1977 sales totalled $10 billion with about $1 billion a year earmarked for R&D - which is approximately one eight of the R&D expenditure for all West German industry. Instead of allocating the R&D funds for research activities; Siemens applies the bulk of it for product development. Its applications know how and high technical competence are wide acknowledged, and it employs this strength to good advantage in acquiring and improving on ideas and developments from others. Siemens patented and improved version of Alexander Graham Bell’s telephone inventions has developed the second largest business in the company and the third largest supplier of telephone systems. With American tech­nology acquired in the 1930s plus its own expertize in telegraphy, the company become a major supplier of telex machines, and in 1977 introduced new electronic teleprinter that has been selling at a rate of 50.000 units a year. In computers, Siemens employed licenseed technology from RCA in the 1960s and has since captured a 21% share of the mainframe market in Germany while IBM’s share has slipped from over 72% to 54%. “Siemens starts second but finishes first” Fortune, May 1978. Cited from Sherman Gee, “Technology Transfer, Innovation and International Competitiveness, New York, John Wiley and Sons, 1981.
Moreover it is argued that unless inventors, designers and writers are allowed to gain financially from their endeavours, there will be no incentive to originate, and R&D in industry will be greatly re­duced. Far fewer new products and technologies will be available. But the fact that today’s MDCs copied each other in an early stage of development did not prevented technological progress.
It was the possibility of exploiting technological and social innovations in a world wide scale that al­lowed industrialized countries to develop. What counted was knowledge. It looks that every present indus­trialized country knows how they came to the stage they are in. Now, that they are inside, they try to block the door which really leads to development



To: TobagoJack who wrote (29003)2/20/2003 11:38:25 PM
From: BubbaFred  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
"The great deficit time bomb"

Jay - What scenario is most likely to occur, and in what sequence?

By Martin D. Weiss, Safe Money Report
Last Update: 5:30 PM ET Feb. 20, 2003

PALM BEACH GARDENS, Fla. (WeissRatings) -- The President recently submitted his budget with a $304 billion deficit for 2003, sending shock waves through the corridors of the Capitol, leaving investors stunned, and setting off a new whirlwind of venomous, partisan debate.

I'm non-partisan. Much as I have no business relationship with the thousands of companies I rate, I have no commitment to either side of the aisle. I look strictly at the numbers and tell it like it is:

The federal budget is a great time bomb that could soon explode. Both parties are responsible; both must suffer the consequences.

Right now, the Administration pooh-poohs growing deficit concerns with the argument that it's still a relatively small fraction of GDP.

Problem: The deficit is potentially much larger than virtually anyone cares to admit. Consider these shocking facts:

Deficit shocker #1

The $304 billion excludes the deficits of agencies that are guaranteed, backed or sponsored by the U.S. government. If you include these, you'll find that the real federal deficit is now over $800 billion, even before adding the cost of the Iraq war and any other new outlays.

Want proof? Check Table F.4 of the Federal Reserve's Flow of Funds, which shows that the government raised new money at an average annual rate of $810 billion for deficit financing in the first three quarters of 2002. The third line of the Fed's table, "U.S. Government securities," even shows the government was borrowing at the annual rate of over $1 trillion in the second quarter of last year.

Deficit shocker #2

The $304 billion deficit Mr. Bush has proposed does not include one dime for the upcoming war in Iraq, which will cost anywhere from $50 billion to $200 billion, according to government and private estimates.

Deficit shocker #3

The Bush budget includes nothing to account for proposed tax changes that are expected to cost $500 billion over the next 10 years.

Deficit shocker #4

The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) announced in late January that its $7 billion surplus of year-end 2001 has now turned into a $3.6 billion deficit at year-end 2002 -- a staggering loss of $10.6 billion in 12 months. In addition, the Director of the PBGC estimates that the pension funds it insures are under funded to the tune of about $300 billion. That implies a new infusion of federal funds into the PBGC and more red ink in the federal budget.

Deficit shocker #5

If earnings decline ... or the economy sinks back into recession (even a mild one) ... or if there is a financial disaster of any kind ... the budget numbers will be still worse.

Reason: Tax revenues flowing into the Treasury's coffers will fall almost immediately ... and cash outflows for unemployment benefits and other payments will surge.

Impact on investors

Even if the deficit's size can be contained somehow, its impacts are unmistakable.

First, any company or municipality seeking to raise capital now faces stiffening competition from Uncle Sam. Already, IPO and venture capital is drying up. Total capital invested in entrepreneurial companies fell 26 percent in the third quarter of last year to $4.5 billion.

As a result, thousands of credit-addicted companies are facing cold-turkey withdrawal. As the federal deficit grows, this situation can only worsen.

Second, long-term bond yields are bound rise, especially in inflation-adjusted terms. Reason: Huge new supplies dumped on the market depress or hold down the price.

Third, corporate earnings are likely to take another hit.

Ballooning deficits can pull scarce funds away from private companies. They can force more cutbacks in equipment spending. They can prompt companies to reduce inventories. And they can gum up the works of the entire economy.

End result: Lower stock prices.

Where to run

My advice: Get out of the stock market and to a safe haven, such as a money fund that invest exclusively U.S. Treasury securities, such American Century Capital Preservation Fund, Dreyfus 100% US Treasury Fund, Fidelity Spartan US Treasury Fund, or U.S. Treasury Security Cash Fund. Like all money markets, the yield is very low right now. But you will sleep nights.

Next, for stocks you cannot sell, seriously consider a hedge such as the Rydex Ursa Fund (RYURX: news, chart, profile). This fund is designed to rise about 10 percent for every 10 percent decline in the S&P 500 Index ($SPX: news, chart, profile). Naturally, if the market goes up instead, you can lose money with this fund. But I think the bear market is far from over.

Last, if you are concerned about rising interest rates in the wake of giant federal deficits, another hedge worth considering is the Rydex Juno Fund (RYJUX: news, chart, profile), which is designed to profit from higher Treasury rates.

Above all: Keep your money safe.

Martin Weiss, chairman of Weiss Ratings, is the author of Crash Profits and editor of the Safe Money Report


cbs.marketwatch.com