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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lurqer who wrote (13280)2/21/2003 2:46:08 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Unanswered Questions

Democrats: It's Time to Lead or Risk Losing Again
by James Zogby
Published on Thursday, February 20, 2003 by the Baltimore Sun

WHEN DEMOCRATS convene their winter meeting in Washington today, they should use the opportunity to question President Bush's plans to drag the nation into what may be a war without end.

Despite the Bush administration's efforts to win support for a war with Iraq, many Americans remain opposed, or at least uneasy and confused. What is the purpose of this conflict? And what will be its costs and consequences? The administration has not tried to answer these questions.

At times, it has argued that the threat of force is needed to press Iraq to comply with U.N. resolutions that require the regime to disarm. On other occasions, Mr. Bush has gone further, speaking of some divine mandate to liberate the people of Iraq from their oppressive leadership.

The former objective is the agreed position of the United Nations. Disarmament still may be accomplished by weapons inspections and continued international pressure. The latter goal, though commendable to some, has little international support and would require a long-term U.S. occupation and a risky nation-building enterprise in Iraq.

If this is the administration's objective, it has not made its case before Congress and the American people. It has not told us how it would be done, what it would require and what are the chances for success.

Instead of presenting a fully developed case, the administration's neo-conservative supporters have projected a sort of adolescent fantasy about this war: It will take a week; it will provide such a shock to the Arab "street" and system that extremists will fall devastated; and democracy will flourish in Iraq and spread to the rest of the Middle East.

A more likely scenario, however, is projected by former U.S. diplomats and military officers who have served in the Arab world. They suggest that this war will take longer and may involve costly and deadly urban warfare and substantial devastation to the country's infrastructure. There is also the risk that a highly destabilized Iraq could create regional tension in Turkey, Iran and beyond. And while it is unlikely that mass uprisings will occur in neighboring Arab countries, there will be an internalization of anger and the resultant spread of extremist anti-American sentiment throughout the region.

This can create deadly long-term consequences for our interests and those of our allies.

More than a decade ago, Colin L. Powell, then chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, articulated the doctrine that defined the requirements that must be met before the United States should engage in military conflict.

Three of them were that military and political objectives were clearly delineated, that there was a reasonable expectation that the Congress and the American people understood the costs of this commitment and would support it and sustain their support, and that all possible peaceful means of resolving the conflict had been exhausted.

The Bush administration has met none of these requirements. Instead, it has played a shell game with the American people.

As secretary of state, Mr. Powell made the case for one kind of campaign - Iraqi disarmament - while it appears that the administration is heading toward a very different, much more expansive war - regime change. Mr. Powell's calm and thorough multimedia presentation before the U.N. Security Council sought to convince the world that the Iraqi leader is dishonest and brutal. But this is already widely accepted.

The case he did not make was why any of this dishonesty and brutality requires a costly, dangerous and possibly destabilizing war - especially one that risks isolating the United States from many of its important European and Middle Eastern allies and aggravates an already hostile and volatile world public opinion.

Domestically and internationally, the Bush administration has blustered itself way out on a limb and has attempted to browbeat and demean those who have hesitated or refused to join it.

Democrats fell for that game before November's election and lost. They incorrectly assumed that if they gave the president his war-making resolution, the national debate would return to "their" issues: the economy, corporate corruption and health care. They were wrong. Democrats will only compound this error if they don't act now to challenge the administration before it's too late.

Public opinion polls show that while Americans may support a war, that support drops dramatically when they are presented with details such as cost, consequences, time of involvement, casualties and the risk of fighting without U.N. backing.

This fact, combined with tough anti-war resolutions passed by city councils across the United States and recent substantial national demonstrations, make it clear that Americans have many questions and are looking for answers and leadership.

The message for Democrats is, it's time to lead or risk losing again.
____________________________________________

James Zogby is president of the Arab American Institute in Washington, a member of the Democratic National Committee and the visiting Batten Professor of Public Policy at Davidson College in North Carolina.

Copyright © 2003, The Baltimore Sun

commondreams.org



To: lurqer who wrote (13280)2/21/2003 3:14:52 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
Gimme that old-time imperialism

By Jim Lobe
ANALYSIS
Asia Times Online
Feb 20, 2003
atimes.com

WASHINGTON - "Aggressive fighting for the right is the noblest sport the world affords."

So reads a bronze plaque that sits on Pentagon chief Donald Rumsfeld's massive desk in his office across the Potomac River from Washington. It encapsulates much of the spirit that animates the hawks in the administration of President George W Bush, and their supporters.

The quotation is by former president Theodore Roosevelt, Bush's favorite president, who led the charge on San Juan Hill in Cuba in the supposedly decisive battle of the 1898 Spanish-American War that, with the defeat of the Spanish navy in Manila Bay half a world away, established the United States as an imperial power with global reach.

Of course, the current president's reading of "TR" is rather selective. A passionate environmentalist and social progressive who built up big government to protect the public against the depredations of private capital, Roosevelt would no doubt find much to vigorously protest in Bush's policies.

But now, more than a century after his presidency, TR's fighting and imperial spirit is being aggressively promoted as a model for US policies overseas in the 21st century, by both the civilian policymakers in the Pentagon and their neo-conservative and rightwing allies.

Their basic assumptions are quite consistent with those of the imperialists of the late 19th century: the conviction of cultural superiority; the view that the world is a place of merciless, Darwinian competition where force is the only language that lesser peoples understand; and the belief that the US and the larger Western world have a duty to civilize the rest. All these - the basic ideological tenets for imperialism - are now openly championed in public debate.

Even before the September 11 attacks, these hawks argued that much of the world was essentially in chaos and should be actively policed by the preeminent powers of the day, of which the US was by far the most important. "The great work of disarming tribes, sects, warlords and criminals - a principal achievement of monarchs of ... empires in the 19th [century] - threatens to need doing all over again," wrote the much-quoted British military historian John Keegan.

"Because so many states in the developing world have flimsy institutions, the paramount question in world politics in the early 21st century will be the re-establishment of order," predicted Robert Kaplan, an influential political writer, in his 2002 Warrior Politics, a book dedicated to the eminently Rooseveltian notion that "without struggle - and the sense of insecurity that motivates it - there is decadence".

But according to the hawks, US responsibility does not end with simply policing unruled peoples, either alone or with like-minded powers. Washington also has a duty to "uplift and civilize" the natives as Roosevelt's predecessor, William McKinley, claimed he learned from praying to "Almighty God" about what to do with the Philippines after the Spanish defeat.

"Afghanistan and other troubled lands today cry out for the sort of enlightened foreign administration once provided by self-confident Englishmen in jodhpurs and pith helmets," wrote Max Boot, a former Wall Street Journal editorial writer now at the Council on Foreign Relations, last year.

Boot has become perhaps the leading exponent of a revival of the imperialist spirit since the publication last year of his The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power, a book that takes Roosevelt as a model and argues that, after World War II and Vietnam, Washington had forgotten its talents - acquired in the Indian Wars, the Philippines, and throughout Central America and the Caribbean - for bringing the blessings of liberty to the less fortunate.

"America should not be afraid to fight 'the savage wars of peace' if necessary to enlarge 'the empire of liberty'," he wrote. "It has been done before."

Since the ouster of the Taliban, the benighted to be redeemed by US force of arms, in this view, are the Muslims of the Middle East, beginning with Iraq now that Afghanistan has been restored to the path of civilization.

"We need an Islamic reformation," deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz told a Washington Post columnist. "I think there is real hope for one," he added, saying that was a powerful intellectual rationale for ousting the Baghdad government.

Like their 19th century forebears, the neo-imperialists also see the Islamic Middle East as offering a particular challenge, presumably because of its inherent violence and cultural, if not racial, inferiority.

"This is a region characterized by paranoia, apocalypticism, tyranny and violence, a region where differences are settled by the sword," according to Joshua Muravchik, an analyst at the American Enterprise Institute whose thinkers are particularly close to Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld.

"In centuries past, the wild and unruly passions of the Islamic world were kept within tight confines by firm, often ruthless imperial authority," added Boot, who praises the British and French who assumed control of the region beginning in the late 19th century. "These distant masters did not always rule wisely or well, but they generally prevented the region from menacing the security of the outside world."

Washington should learn from them, Boot advises, arguing that US efforts after 1945 "to carve out a different style of leadership, one that was meant to distinguish the virtuous Americans from the grasping, greedy imperialists who had come before", only made the country appear weak. "The record shows precious little bullying" by Washington in the Mideast, he adds, "indeed not enough."

"The elementary truth that seems to elude the experts again and again - Gulf War, Afghan war, next war - is that power is its own reward," wrote Charles Krauthammer, a Post columnist close to Wolfowitz, after the Taliban's defeat. "Victory changes everything, psychology above all. The psychology in the region is now one of fear and deep respect for American power."

The way to bring the blessings of enlightenment - and democracy - to Muslims, according to this view, is through the use of fear-inspiring force. Indeed, if Washington does not go through with an invasion at this point, Boot argued last week, "it would earn the contempt of the Muslim world for its weakness".

As for those Europeans and anti-war demonstrators who argue for resort to war only after all peaceful efforts to resolve the Iraq crisis have been exhausted, the hawks express their contempt by once again citing TR: "Weasel words from mollycoddles will never do when the day demands prophetic clarity from great hearts."

(Inter Press Service)
______________________________________________________
Jim Lobe writes on international affairs for Inter Press Service, Oneworld.net, Foreign Policy in Focus and AlterNet.org.