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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FaultLine who wrote (76207)2/21/2003 2:54:44 AM
From: Bill Ulrich  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
It's a probe, although perhaps more of a diplomatic one rather than a probe of military response. They've jabbed at the Yellow Sea area often (albeit via ship, not aircraft). This one coincides with Powell's visit, and a subsequent release over NK's official propaganda agency that "nuclear war may break out at any moment".

This is Roh's inauguration, winning on a platform laced with an extension of "Sunshine Policy" towards reunification and reduction of US presence. To a lesser extent, there is also NK's expression of condolences for the recent civilian subway tragedy (such situations do not usually elicit a response). With this incursion, Kim is testing Roh to see how fast he runs into Powell's embrace — Kim's just trying to start some dialogue. They probably already know the radar signatures. Certainly, I could also be terribly incorrect. <g>