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Strategies & Market Trends : Options 201: Beyond Obi-Wan-Kenobe -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tyc:> who wrote (761)2/23/2003 5:46:31 PM
From: Dan Duchardt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1064
 
There certainly should be a connection between BBs and historical volatility, since both are based on standard deviation calculations. I think OX is right that 22% is not the right answer for your example based on the following comparison. I had to use the US version of the chart to get the IVolatility data. The BBs and MA for the chart are set to 30 day, but can easily be changed to 20, 10 for comparison with the tabulated historical volatility calculations.

ivolatility.com

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[dd][pb30!d30,2][vc60][iUyb30,2.0]&pref=G

It's an interesting relationship, and the conversion should be fairly simple. I'm going to work on it a bit to see if the math works out.



To: tyc:> who wrote (761)2/23/2003 6:09:32 PM
From: OX  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1064
 
hello my Canadian*** friend,

>>>I use 2 standard deviations because my understanding is the BS formula uses 2 SD's<<<
really?!? i always thot volatility was based on 1sd, not 2

anyway, if you have a reference for using BB's as a basis for HV, I'd certainly like to look it over.
tx

***Canada, where apparently there are only 225 trading days vs the ~250 here in the USA ;-)