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Biotech / Medical : T/FIF, a New Plateau -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: keokalani'nui who wrote (1752)2/26/2003 5:54:05 PM
From: Icebrg  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2243
 
Wilder

>> I'm sure you noticed the patent on S is a big issue. An oral agent expiring '09/'10, with NDA not expected until '06? That's not much time to see the off-label adoption they hope for. What patent extension strategy do you think they have in mind?>>

I was aware that there should be a patent issue. Considering that the drug has been around for quite some time. But I didn't have the details. I have no idea what they will do with the patent issues. On the other had - considering the expertise that is on hand both at Spectrum and at GPC, I just assumed that this is something that they have thought about. This should actually be more of a threat to GPC then to SPPI. The latter is so small that any income should have a good impact on their valuation.

Orphan drug status is the protection that first comes to my mind. But the prostate cancer indication will not support orphan status.

>>Plus, it's partnered to GPC, GPC will need to partner once again. So.....>>

That's OK as long as some money flows back to SPPI. Clearly GPC wouldn't be able to do anything with the drug in the US. Perhaps BMY would be happy to in-license the drug. :-).

SPPI's basic strategy at the moment is one of survival. They have to be able to keep some funds coming their way. If Satraplatin can do that until 2009/2010 they have made a very good deal IMHO. You have to keep in mind that their market cap. is only 3 mUSD. Any little indication of a steady future income stream should easily move them to say 10 mUSD for an easy three-bagger. On the other hand their financial situation is still very fragile. Although I think that they have escaped the worst.

It's an interesting company to follow, because they are so different from almost anything else.

Erik