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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sig who wrote (78072)2/27/2003 1:02:57 AM
From: paul_philp  Respond to of 281500
 
Shiites and Sunnis start a civil war -( Is that a change?- I wouldn't know)
- Out and out civil war for control of Iraq is a possibility.

Turkey invades and takes the northern oil fields- ( then they dont get our $20bil, tough Turkey)

- remember, they got $6B in cash.

Iran invades from the south- (not a chance)
- very real chance since Iran is on the Axis of Evil list they might very much like a bargaining chip.

I still think that 70% likliehood that all goes well but war is war.

Paul