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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (29259)	2/27/2003 4:00:33 AM
From: Gary H	Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay, Here are the big 6 I picked up from a business manager some years ago. Not only business are prone these steps, your seeing it play out in politics right now, just as it has so many times before. "The Six Phases of a Project". 1. Enthusiasm 2. Disillusionment 3. Panic 4. Search for the guilty 5. Punishment of the innocent 6.Praise and honor for the nonparticipants

To: TobagoJack who wrote (29259)	2/27/2003 5:16:37 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, because each individual experiences their own reality, which is not the same as everyone else's though there are major parallels, we really have millions and billions of Fourier Transform type individual wave functions overlaying each other to give a total wave. Because we don't have decoders, we need to guess at what the total adds up to and guess at the bottoms and tops. The people looking at the JDSUniphase graph siliconinvestor.com will have had a different experience from the General Electric crowd, who are only now noticing their hairy legs. siliconinvestor.com The JDSUniphase crowd has already had two full years of going through the grief process [whichever process it is that they go through - each one being an individual experience]. AMP is a big deal in these parts. They've been having a horrible couple of years. Their shareholders are just realizing that they are in big trouble. <You really do need to rethink your strategy of sitting perfectly still, in the middle of the financial death match arena, > Jay, that's not a strategy. It resulted from failing to sell my US$ at 44.27 last year in exchange for Kiwi$, which is now 56 = a 25% difference. Ouch. It's called frightened rabbit syndrome. My strategy is to head for the hills. I am looking around for some good hills. I'm not worried about missing any bottoms right now. The likes of the GE graph and other things make me think that there's a more adaptation to the new reality still required. US$ cash seems reasonable for now but with Uncle Al pixelating flat out, the dilution rate he's lining up on me is BIG!! That'll probably ding my dollars one of these days and probably sooner rather than later. But he has done a great job of retaining the US$ over the decades as the world's pre-eminent currency and that seems unlikely to change and time soon [until I get that Q stuff going]. So I don't want to leap before I look. He who hesitates is not necessarily lost. Who dares doesn't necessarily win. Just Do It, is fine for Nike, but I find a bit of contemplation is not a bad idea. Mqurice