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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (224812)3/2/2003 7:20:06 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 436258
 
North Korea warns of ``horrifying'' nuclear disasters

SEOUL March 2 - North Korea on Sunday accused US intelligence of staging a secret drill for a surprise attack on its nuclear facility and warned that an attack would trigger ``horrifying nuclear disasters''.

Rodong Sinmun, the North's ruling Workers Party newspaper, argued the United States was pushing ahead with ``actual military actions that came in accordance with the second Korean war scenario of aggression.''

``What merits a serious attention is that a special operation group of the CIA staged a secret drill to make a surprise attack on the nuclear facility of the DPRK (North Korea) and destroy it,'' it said.

``The US projected attack on the nuclear facility of the DPRK presupposes a nuclear war.''

Tensions along the world's last remaining Cold War frontier escalated last week after Washington's announcement that North Korea had restarted a five-megawatt reactor capable of producing weapons-grade plutonium.

Rodong said its armed forces were ready to ``mercilessly wipe out'' a war of aggression.

``If the US imperialists ignite a war on the Korean peninsula, the war will turn into a nuclear war. As a consequence, the Koreans in the North and South and the people in Asia and the rest of the world will suffer horrifying nuclear disasters.''

US Joint Chief of Staff Chairman Richard Myers told NBC last week that if President George W. Bush decides to use military force to resolve special issues, US troops are ready to operate in a flexible and effective manner.

Myers reportedly said the United States maintains and updates all military options - including preemptive nuclear attacks - against North Korea.

Yonhap news agency, however, said Sunday that the Seoul government dismissed talk of a US plan to attack North Korea as ``not true''.

``The US side told us that the talk of launching a preemptive strike against the North is not true,'' an unnamed government official here was quoted as saying.

``We've heard from the US government that Myers was referring to the general principle that the military has always had contingency plans when he talked about attacking the North,'' he said.

In a speech Saturday, new South Korean President Roh Moo-Hyun warned of ``horrible consequences'' unless the nuclear stand-off was resolved peacefully.

``We would be unable to cope with the horrible consequences should peace on the Korean peninsula be broken for whatever reasons,'' he said.

Eight years ago, the Korean peninsula was on the brink of war over a possible US attack on North Korea's nuclear facility at Yongbyon, some 90 kilometres (56 miles) north of Pyongyang.

North Korea resolved the 1994 crisis by agreeing to freeze the Yongbyon complex under a deal, known as the Agreed Framework.

The deal collapsed amid a new crisis sparked last October when Washington said North Korea had admitted running a separate nuclear programme based on enriched uranium.

Fears are now centred on the 8,000 spent fuel rods stored at Yongbyon as reprocessing them could yield enough plutonium for half a dozen bombs.

The New York Times reported Saturday that experts and intelligence officials had told Bush that they expected the North would reactivate its reprocessing plant in the next few weeks. - AFP



To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (224812)3/2/2003 7:30:46 PM
From: Elmer Flugum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Oil won't dry up, but it will cost us

chron.com

The nation likely will not face any supply disruptions despite the dwindling stockpiles of oil and natural gas, but it will pay the price for cutting it so close.

Energy experts said the depleted reserves that have been the driving force in the market won't go away in the months to come.

But analysts expect demand to decrease as the weather moderates, which should ease fears that energy supplies may not be sufficient to meet demand.

The nation is expected to end the winter heating season on March 31 with close to a record low storage amount of natural gas.

"I don't think there will be any supply disruption, although it will be a fairly tenuous balance," said Ron Gist, senior principal at energy consultants Purvin & Gertz.

Natural gas for April delivery at the Henry Hub closed on the New York Mercantile Exchange at $8.10 per thousand cubic feet, up 61 cents. For the week, the price of a thousand cubic feet of gas rose by $1.80, and are expected to remain high on the heels of another large withdrawal from inventories this week.

March heating oil settled at $1.2559 a gallon, up a whopping 10.16 cents a gallon. March gasoline futures ended with a gain of 1.97 cents at $1.0377 a gallon.

And light, sweet crude for delivery in April closed at $36.60 per barrel, down 60 cents per barrel. But prices jumped by $1.02 per barrel this week as oil inventories also continue to hover at a level sufficient to cover only two weeks of consumption.

As a result, the White House said Friday that President Bush is concerned about energy costs.

"There has been a confluence of factors involving both the cold weather and a shortage of supply that have led to an increase in prices that concern the president greatly," White House spokesman Ari Fleischer told reporters.

But so far, his feelings won't prompt any immediate action. The White House is drafting a new set of legislative proposals to encourage more production over the long haul rather than tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, where 600 million barrels of oil are stored in case of major supply disruptions.

The biggest variables in the outlook for oil and natural gas are weather and war.

Oil prices nearly broke $40 a barrel this week -- just short of the record high of $41.15 hit in October 1990 ahead of theGulf War.

Gasoline prices declined slightly this week in Houston, but they are not expected to show any long-term weakness.

A gallon of regular unleaded gasoline in Houston was down 0.3 of a cent to just under $1.59, AAA said.

The Energy Information Administration, the research arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, is projecting prices at the retail level to rise from 4 to 8 cents in the near term.

The colder than normal weather is the chief culprit for higher gas prices. But there were also reports Friday that some of the natural gas storage infrastructure is beginning to show signs of strain because of spiking demand.

"What has really moved the cash market is a lot of storage facilities are being drawn down so fast that they are having pressure problems," said Warren Tashnek, vice president at Fimat Futures in Houston.

When the pressure declines in a storage facility, natural gas liquids separate from dry gas and can cause mechanical problems in compression units.

Over the longer haul, oil and gas companies are not moving to alleviate the shortages.

The high prices have not translated into a wave of new drilling, which is another concern because existing natural gas production is declining and new reserves are not being found to replace them.

Oil and gas exploration companies are not setting budgets based on the current high prices. They are cautious about ramping up exploration because no one believes such prices will sustain for any significant period.

The Baker Hughes rotary rig count, in its measure of inland and offshore rigs working in the United States, on Friday reported 912 rigs drilling, up from 782 at this time last year, when gas prices were in the $2.50 per thousand cubic feet range.

On days when natural gas supplies are short, the ones that will suffer are big users with interruptible contacts -- users who pay lower prices but risk getting cut off in periods of tight supplies.

"There are interruptible contracts on the pipelines so some of those people may be cut off," Gist said.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has pledged to keep enough oil on world markets to avoid supply disruptions, even in the event of a war with Iraq.