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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: loantech who wrote (29070)3/4/2003 10:41:15 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Bugos article points out several key targets with currencies
some very large implications to gold
but more importantly right now, big implications for import prices
from Japan and Canada

this spells almost imminent dollar breakdown, and gold upleg resumption

got a nice "W" rectangular pattern bullish for Canuck$
loony target is 69.5 cents
which will fortify any US holdings on Canadian Juniors
or any other Canuck stocks
since early January, Canuck stocks have been buffeted by about 5% from the C$ rising from 64 to 67.7 cents here
the momentum swing will take from 62.5 to 66, next to 69.5

but in my view the big big biggee is the JYen
that a huge breakout is imminent
a strong clear powerful Head & Shoulder bull pattern
THIS H&S IS A MORE MEANINGFUL NEARTERM PATTERN
from base of 75 to breakout point of 86
target is 97 therefore
this translates to about 103-104 in yen terms
now at 117 or so

the JYen move up will silence all who believe that the Bank of Japan can continue to thwart the import/export capital flows
with the Japanese trade surplus at 2.5% of GDP, the govt cannot hold back the tide for much longer
as they lose control, the makeup effect will launch the JYen
some on SD2 believe that "since the region needs a weaker JYen currency, a strong JYen cannot happen"
well, watch and learn !!!

HUGE IMPLICATIONS FOR JYEN RUNUP BREAKOUT
BIG PRICE INCREASES FOR JAPANESE IMPORTS
e.g. stereo equipmt, camera equipmt, engine components, tech components, some cars (since many made in USA)

this would cripple the Japanese economy, since the Chinese Yuan is pegged to the US$
so the Japanese mfrs would lose badly on price
this JYen breakout could lead to a Yuan revaluation upward
please pay note here, Slider
even chart expert extraordinaires can learn macro-econ tricks

safehaven.com

gold bears dont focus properly on these currency charts
the USDollar is about to break down again
we have seen the lows in gold on this cycle
50MA and 200MA still clearly trending down
we are about to knock against the 50MA soon
in recent resolutions, US$ fell just before touching the 50MA
like now

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[dc][pb50!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!Uh15,5,5]&pref=G

/ jim