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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lurqer who wrote (14024)3/6/2003 2:42:45 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
EuroCB rate cut is inching down, not enough to matter
the US$ - Euro differential still favors more dollar declines
Duisenberg is a total idiot Duouchesbag
he still fears price inflationary threats
so deflation will cut his nuts off

besides, Arabs are recycling their PetroDollars into Euros
interest rates matter little for this monstrous flow

as for jobless figures, nasty bad
moving averages are still above 400,000 weekly
attributing it to harsh weather is nonsense crappola
they seasonalize, dont they?
do how can season work against, when they control the seasonality apparatus?
nonsense crappola
when the weather improves, the jobs picture brightens?
HARDLY

I focus on first-time claims, not ongoing claims
the ongoing claims is distorted by people dropping out of the system after their insurance runs dry and they become dispirited

wait until the Q1 and Q2 corp earnings crater from higher energy costs filtering thru their entire cost structure
then layoffs will accelerate

I have gotten it righton with the labor market for months
no error there
plenty of lousy expectations shared here
much confirmation
it will get worse

an old saying among Austrian School economists
"if it can go wrong during K-Winter, it will go wrong"
it is amazing that no mention of the SuperCycle or K-Winter is given in the press & media
they expect an economic recovery
and we will get a recession instead

UTTER DELUSION CONTINUES
/ jim