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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: paul_philp who wrote (79976)3/6/2003 3:55:07 PM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 281500
 
I'm taking my views from the opposite side of the divide--the leftist Guardian says that despite 122 Labor votes against him, there is no chance that Blair's government will fall unless the war in Iraq is a disaster. Its analysis seems credible.

Because of the sheer size of Blair's majorities, it is safe for Labor to go against him as there is no downside to individual members in doing so. The remaining Tory and Labor votes are more than sufficient to give Blair the cushion he needs. If party loyalty is at stake, look for the 122 Labor dissenters to change their stripes.

To consider English support wobbly is simply not in tune with the facts as I see them or as the left in the UK sees them. I do agree with you that the position Blair has staked out for himself now requires a SC veto. But he'll send British troops in regardless, but only after a House of Commons vote which he knows he'll win. Very cunning.

politics.guardian.co.uk