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To: 4figureau who wrote (3627)3/7/2003 9:27:43 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 5423
 
Nikkei getting wind that JYen will rise soon
horrible implications for their many exporting companies
BoJ has forestalled the currency correction for a year now

and cannot for much longer

the Japanese economy has a net trade surplus versus the USA amounting to 2.5% of their GDP

that is a mighty river flowing capital toward Japan
BoJ cannot continue to win this battle
and when the JYen rises, it will do so by at least 10%
prices of all kinds of products sold inside USA will rise
of course, Sony and Nissan will eat some losses

/ jim



To: 4figureau who wrote (3627)3/7/2003 9:28:10 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 5423
 
Nikkei getting wind that JYen will rise soon
horrible implications for their many exporting companies
BoJ has forestalled the currency correction for a year now

and cannot for much longer

the Japanese economy has a net trade surplus versus the USA amounting to 2.5% of their GDP

that is a mighty river flowing capital toward Japan
BoJ cannot continue to win this battle
and when the JYen rises, it will do so by at least 10%
prices of all kinds of products sold inside USA will rise
of course, Sony and Nissan will eat some losses
but their profit margins will be hurt
or else prices will rise in USA
no other way out

/ jim



To: 4figureau who wrote (3627)3/7/2003 9:30:11 AM
From: 4figureau  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5423
 
List News:

Bema Gold Corporation - Drilling Intersects High Grade Gold Values at Monument Bay, Project Manitoba - Canada NewsWire
biz.yahoo.com

CAL.TO Caledonia Mining Corporation: 2003 Kikerk Lake Program approved - CCNMatthews
biz.yahoo.com

BML.V Barker Minerals Closes Private Placement - CCNMatthews
biz.yahoo.com

GEO.TO Geomaque Explorations Ltd.: Closing of CDN$925,000 Private Placement of Common Shares - CCNMatthews
biz.yahoo.com

SNZ.V Southern Rio Resources: Drill Program and Property Acquisitions - CCNMatthews
biz.yahoo.com

NSU.TO Nevsun Resources Ltd.: Resource Estimate For Segala Project - Business Wire
biz.yahoo.com

UNO.V TSX Venture Exchange - Trading Halt - First Narrows Resources Corp. - UNO - Canada NewsWire
biz.yahoo.com

TRC.V Teryl Resources Receives 2003 Exploration Budget Proposal on Gil Joint Venture from Kinross Gold - Business Wire
biz.yahoo.com



To: 4figureau who wrote (3627)3/12/2003 10:13:43 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5423
 
Friedland bets on “deflation boom” for next fortunes
By: Tim Wood
Posted: 2003/03/11 Tue 22:11 ZE2 | © Mineweb 1997-2003
TORONTO – Canada’s most successful stock promoter and present chairman of Ivanhoe Mines,
Robert Friedland, is investing heavily in China, Australia and South Africa on a hunch that those
countries will benefit most from a “deflation boom”.

A deflation boom, says Friedland, is akin to previous periods of unusual prosperity underwritten
by tremendous productivity gains – real wealth growth despite punishing price declines. Such
events were seen in Australia from 1860-90; the United States from 1870-1913 and Japan from
1950-73.

China is Friedland’s next candidate for a deflation boom, already at the right staging point with
sustained, strong GDP growth and a stable, but proportionately more massive population than
in countries that previously experienced deflationary booms.

“The combined population of the US and Britain is less than China’s under-eighteens, none of
whom remember Chairman Mao,” said an enthused Friedland, who also noted that English is
now a universal subject at Chinese schools.

“The West’s production capacity is moving to China and there is nothing it can do about it.
Germany is prolapsing; the Europeans haven’t got the foggiest idea. The average German
worker wants a 4-day week, a 9-week holiday and still make 40 bucks an hour; but Volkswagen
makes the bulk of its money in Shanghai.”

Friedland is running his macro view on a double entry commodity ledger. On the “left hand side”
are things China does not need like lead, magnesium, molybdenum, tin, zinc and steam coal.
On the “right-hand side” are sea borne iron ore, platinum, alumina, copper, nickel, metallurgical
coal, and gold.

Guess which commodities Friedland is up to his eyeballs in? Ever the promoter.

That said, Friedland is hardly alone in pushing China to the top of the miners’ totem pole.
Chicago investment manager Donald Coxe says: “China is becoming a price setter on a huge
range of finished goods. At the same time it is a price taker for a wide range of commodities.”
There’s that double entry reference again.

Friedland is looking forward to a “majestic, long-term rollover for the US dollar.”

“The US dollar is toast because China is going to export awesome deflation. It is going to
depress real wage rates in the West in a very serious way; will hurt unions and take down urban
real estate in the United States and there’s nothing that can be done about it.” As an example,
he cited the cost of structural steel which is ten times more expensive in the West – something
has to give and he thinks it’s the minimum union wage.

In contrast, Canada’s magnate thinks gold as a proxy for Chinese liquidity is a good investment
along with Chinese urban real estate if you have a speculative bent. He also believes agriculture
plays are important since China imports vast quantities of foodstuffs such as sugar, vegetable
oils and coffee, whilst it is also a net consumer of natural resources like natural gas, lumber and
pulp.

“We are now in a period where we can divide the world into winners and losers. Commodities are
the only rational haven,” asserts Friedland. “Australia, South Africa, Canada, Mongolia and
China are the winners. The challenged countries are the labour movements and US real estate.”

“Clearly Australia is a winner – the seaborne iron-ore trade is an incredible proxy on Chinese
economic growth; they’re using about 350 pounds of steel per person per year, whereas South
Korea is about 900 pounds per person. If you adjust for South Korea then the delta is about
600 million tonnes,” said Friedland who calls Rio Tinto, Anglo American and BHP Billiton big
beneficiaries of the projected boom.

Unsurprisingly, Friedland is especially fond of Mongolia – where his big copper-gold bet is
located – which he patronizes as “China’s Canada.” He’s also particularly boosterish on South
Africa because of its precious metals, especially the concentration of platinum group metals that
will feature so prominently in the hydrogen economy.

Before Friedland can reap his full reward from South Africa he must first address several
problems with his bushveld property, including a somewhat rancorous dispute with Australian
headquartered Pan Palladium.

Even so, for most investors those are minor issues relative to Friedland’s successes. There is a
legion content to take his lead; how else could one interpret the constant references to the
man’s private jet.