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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (80187)	3/7/2003 4:28:06 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

If Afghanistan is any guide, Nation-Building in Iraq will turn out to be a non-starter. As soon as Regime Change in Iraq is done, U.S. attention will shift to Regime Change in N. Korea. The U.S. will garrison the capital, a few major roads, and perhaps the oil fields. Iraq will become a playground for foreign armies (the Turks and Iranians already have soldiers on Iraqi territory), and local ethnicly-based militias (Kurds have 80,000 in several competing militias; I'd guess the Iranians are already organizing and arming Shiite militias). In this chaos, Al Queda (or other organizations with the same goals) will find recruitment easier than when Saddam ran Iraq. Just like Islamism was not a problem in Uzbekistan, when Stalin ran things.