To: goldworldnet who wrote (369277 ) 3/10/2003 4:12:01 PM From: Kenneth E. Phillipps Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 769670 Poll: Texans expect tax increases By MONICA WOLFSON Scripps Howard News Service Seventy-two percent of Texans have little or no confidence lawmakers can balance the state budget without raising taxes, according to The Scripps Howard Texas Poll. And when it comes to financing public schools, Texans overwhelmingly favor reform and would like the governor to call a special session if lawmakers are unable to accomplish the task before the session ends June 2. Lawmakers are facing a $9.9 billion deficit and only 26 percent of Texans are confident that legislators can balance the budget without a tax increase. The public’s skepticism didn’t surprise some tax policy analysts. "I would say the public understands better than some legislators that you need a balanced approach to balancing a budget," said Dick Lavine, senior fiscal analyst with the Center for Public Policy Priorities, an advocacy group for middle- and lower-income Texans. "The hole is much too deep to fill with cuts alone." If lawmakers raised taxes, 24 percent of Texans would support raising sales taxes — a 7 percent increase in support from October. But cigarette taxes are still the overwhelming favorite chosen by 45 percent. Creating an income tax has 7 percent support, while raising property and gasoline taxes were both chosen by 2 percent. Meanwhile, a personal income tax proposal to reduce property taxes and raise money for public education has lost some support. Forty-one percent support creating an income tax, down 5 percent from October. According to the Texas Constitution, two-thirds of revenue generated from an income tax must be used to reduce property taxes, while the rest of the revenue has to be spent on education. Fifty-three percent oppose an income tax, up from 46 percent in October. "There has been lots of rhetoric against an income tax lately," said Wayne Pierce, executive director of the Equity Center, which represents property-poor school districts. "I think personal income reductions in retirement accounts have also made people skittish about an income tax." Republican state leaders don’t support creating an income tax, Lavine said. But 67 percent of Texans believe they will pay more in taxes if there were an income tax, while 12 percent say they will pay fewer taxes. Texans are also undecided about whether businesses pay a fair share of state taxes. Forty percent strongly or somewhat agree, while 40 percent strong or somewhat disagree that businesses pay a fair share of state taxes. "I think that split and the support for increasing the sales tax gives the Legislature a menu of opportunity to consider what revenue is needed," said John Connolly, executive director of the Texas School Coalition, which represents property-wealthy school districts. Support for Robin Hood, which is an element of the state’s school funding equalization system, is unchanged from October. Fifty percent of Texans support the recapture system called Robin Hood, where property-wealthy school districts share property revenue with property-poor school districts. Forty-one percent oppose. "The public blames Robin Hood for everything," Pierce said. "It’s a wonder it has as good marks as it does. The Legislature is absolutely wrong in trying to replace Robin Hood without a better system in place. Ninety percent of the children in Texas benefit from Robin Hood." The Texas Poll was conducted Feb. 6-28 by the Scripps Data Center. The Poll surveyed 1,000 adult Texans by telephone in a random sample of active telephone exchanges statewide. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.