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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob S. who wrote (163790)3/11/2003 12:20:15 AM
From: Joe NYC  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1573812
 
Rob,

I think Powell misjudged things at the UN. My thinking is that the UN is a nice bonus (while the US Congress support is a pre-requisit). It seems that Powell (with some support from Rice) talked Bush into going to the UN, thinking that support there could be won without major difficulties, but they misjudged France and Germany.

We would have been no worse off diplomatically going after Saddam without the UN than we were going after Serbia without the UN. Actually, I did not check, but did we get a blessing from the UN to go to Afghanistan?

Anyway, I think it has been clear that to Powell, and everybody else that the UN gamble was a miscalculation, but we are now locked into British domestic politics. We owe Blair bigtime, and Blair has a domestic dilemma: The support for war with the UN blessing is some 75%, without some 15%.

Somehow, to get out of this, Bush needs to pull the plug on the UN ASAP, otherwise, this will go on for months, with economy being frozen by these events. The downside is that the US may have to go in alone (the non-US members of the "coalition of the willing" are there only for moral support anyway).

Joe