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Strategies & Market Trends : January Effect 2003 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (216)3/14/2003 11:38:50 AM
From: Londo  Respond to of 666
 
I agree with your assessment with oil. I don't know a thing about gas apparently, so I won't comment on that. As for the Euro, I do think the reaction was over-done, so going long for a penny or two might be a good move. But I'm not sure about that either. (my own personal predictions of the currencies have been pretty bad, thankfully I only made one stupid trade on it so far).

Here's a funny story:

Bad news: I placed my ES order at 827.00 as a DAY order between 4:30pm EST and 01:00am EST (i.e. before IB does its daily shutdown), and my order was not sent to GLOBEX since it got wiped in the daily IB shutdown. Oops (lesson to myself: Always make it GTC).

Good news: The ES reached the low of the day of 827.25, so even if my order went through, I would have never been filled by a QUARTER POINT! What irony. But had my trade been filled, I'd be up 13 points on the S&P. Oh well.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (216)3/14/2003 12:50:50 PM
From: Londo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 666
 
Covered my 30-year bond future short at 114; I made a whopping $57.70 after commissions today. It'll pay for pizza and drinks! My portfolio is now flat. Have a good weekend!



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (216)3/16/2003 8:45:03 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 666
 
The market.....

Late Sunday, and we see some kind of reversal:

Oil quoted 36.400/39.975 (up from 35.375)
Nasdaq -11.50
S&P -7.50
Aussie off 19 to 2733,
EUR somewhere around +72' (1.0815)

etc...

Looks like a good thing that Londo covered his treasury. I will likely sacrify some points on the german bund in a few hours.

What a hoot the Thursday push was... at least the EUR does the necessary (and the oil). I suppose some people will have a rude awakening come monday.