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To: Ironyman who wrote (3687)	3/15/2003 9:55:50 AM
From: loantech	Respond to of 5423

Eric, Rates actually took a big hit on Thursday with the stock market rally. 18 months is a long time to hold rates down but if the powers that be want the dollar to slide you may be right. But I see the treasury competing for dollars too so there could be upward pressure on rates. Tough call, I would not bet either way but we have also seen a huge rate rally so maybe the next direction is up, it will be fun to watch. Tom

To: Ironyman who wrote (3687)	3/17/2003 2:36:27 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 5423

you are right on the effect, but off on the cause up to the point where this recession takes root, bonds will rally and rates will head to zero while investors move into ultra-highpriced bonds furthering the Bond Bubble then comes the inflationary consequences I refer to the monetary expansion running at 20% annually then comes the imported price inflation from Asia when China revalues the yuan upward all Asian nations will then allow their currency to rise also we in the USA then get bigtime 5% price inflation at that point longterm rates will be up around 6% for TENS on Trez mortgage rates will be up toward 7% by then the RE boom will turn to bust and the USEconomy will see its first INFLATIONARY RECESSION COURTESY OF THE USDOLLAR DECLINE VICIOUS CIRCLE / jim