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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: big guy who wrote (2778)	3/17/2003 9:41:09 AM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12411

Hi big guy, WILL BE ??? Heck I thought they HAVE BEEN for 3 years! Don't get me wrong - I'd love toi tell you this puppy is primed for all new highs - I mean I'd really love to see it cause I'd sell hard into it WAY TOO EARLY.gg I think we've had a general market blow off back in March of 03.The vicious drop and now light volume are to be expected. I think that markets now accumulate.Accumulate isn't frothy stuff -it below the horizon low price snagging.Key price actions will be sideways and final shakeouts couple with false starts that frustrate. Long slow boring price actions that builds up more strength for the future. I can see the dollar turn up after we show the world our technology can reach anywhere and ultimately terrorism will be rewarded with justice if you commit it and regime change if you Harbor it. That's a huge new role for us and it will strengthen the dollar,as we've done a lot of homework on becoming terrorist resistant - not terrorist free - but resilient. France and Germany have major problems and will bleed euros for a long time - they must overcome their socialist leaning government systems and that will take a long time as China and Asia show the world real growth. I think the CRB will flatline at lows again as inflation isn't here but geopolitical tension is and that is what the current blip shows. Dollar and U.S. equities up with the dollar - oil and gold down with the crb riding along - Euro is perhaps the obvious best short going in over several years as it is propped up on B.S. and has secular big time problems. France can no longer pimp the world with selling technology to Saddam -this will have huge long term problems as they now can't cheat but must be competitive(that's enough to squirm them just thinking it)and Germany will choke on a strong Euro - the politicians are screaming already.If you think GM and Ford are in for a tough ride - What can be said of Mercedes luxury cars with a strong Euro.Might as well put a Caddilac or Lexus sighn on 50% of the Mercedes Benz stores in U.S.. I think slow and easy accumulation - any top will be hard to call - buy on dips and expect to be patient. JMHO Bob