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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (83493)	3/18/2003 8:58:16 PM
From: JohnM	Respond to of 281500

They can set up a Gov on their own. We are their to make sure that they get a chance to do so. Wishful thinking, Bill. As I typed to someone earlier, I see two large stages, one in which some sort of order has to be created in the midst of blood feuds, ethnic violence, hunger, etc. and a second in which rebuilding takes place. The first has to be done with top down control. The structural incentives and constraints of top down control don't include giving it up to bottom up action. Moreover, I can't see the US accepting a large political party of Shiite Muslims, which is an almost certainty. I assume that rather than have such, they will federate, attempt to create a set of more local administrations in which the shiites in the south run their area, kurds in the north, etc. But, if they wish to preserve an entity called Iraq, they will need to bring that together into some form of power sharing. Big, big problems.