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Politics : Foreign Policy Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (5237)	3/19/2003 2:43:40 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 15987

good comment by Elliot Chodoff: French Protection by Elliot Chodoff We hate to admit it, but the French declaration that they will join the coalition if Saddam uses chemical weapons actually (paradoxically) protects Israel in the short run. Since Saddam's strategy is based on the hope that he can convince the French and the Germans that he is the victim of American and British lies and aggression, as long as he can hope for a reprieve, he is unlikely to use WMD's against US forces or Israel. Doing so would prove the American accusations and certainly seal his fate. Clearly, once he realizes that the game is lost, he will have no constraints about attempting to fire everything he has, sincce he will be in a "use it or lose it" situation. Hopefully, by then there won't be anything left for him to shoot. PS - Please don't tell the French that their policy is good for Israel; that would be too embarrassing for them to stand. chodoff.blogspot.com

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (5237)	3/19/2003 6:01:21 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15987

Now, when Saddam uses some of those chemical weapons he assured everybody he hasn't got, France can declare they are "shocked, shocked" at having been so deceived, and can sidle even closer to the US, while demanding their share of the post-war contracts. What a truly sick thought... But quite likely the reality.. Works great if you have no shame, and an opponent who places a high priority on the diplomatic harmonies. However, I believe that M. Chirac has misjudged the Bush administration and the mood of the American public. Quite badly. The American people will likely have a longer memory than normal with regard to the self-serving behavior of Chirac's government. The only way the rift will be healed will be with his replacement by someone else... Chirac is just as finished as Saddam is.. Only his own people will do him in... Hawk