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Pastimes : 2003 NCAA College Basketball March Madness -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Robert F. Newton who wrote (121)	3/21/2003 11:00:18 PM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 278

There are eight total games with 5s vs. 12s or 6s vs. 11s. Whether it make any sense to choose all the underdogs depends on how many upsets you think there might be that year. From a strictly mathematical perspective, you'd only need three upsets to make it worth your while. For example: If all three 12s win: 12+12+12+3=39 vs. 5+6+6+6+6+5=34 If two 12s and an 11 win: 12+12+11+3=38 vs. 5+5+6+6+6+5=33 If one 12 and two 11s win: 12+11+11+3=37 vs. 5+5+5+6+6+5=32 if all three 11s win: 11+11+11+3=36 vs. 5+5+5+5+6+5=31 Even if you are not sure which teams to choose to be upset, it still might make sense to pick all the underdogs because the winning 5s still have to face 4s and 6s still have to face 3s to advance, which is normally a tall order considering the huge step up in talent. Only when you think there's a very good chance a 5 or 6 will advance to the third round should you pick them. - Jeff

To: Robert F. Newton who wrote (121)	3/22/2003 6:19:27 AM
From: Doo	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 278

"I picked Louisville to win it all over KU in the Battle of Kentucky.............It's probably my only legitimate chance to win any of the pools I'm in." First of all, it's UK, not KU, and don't ever forget it if you happen to visit the Bluegrass State. LOL! I wouldn't have thought it possible to see a UL/UK matchup in the final game with the injury to Ellis Myles. U of L's weakness is rebounding, and Myles was the only hope at that point. However, if you have a chance to see Louisville play from here on out, watch a 6-7 junior named Luke Whitehead. This guy has star potential, and it never came out until the C-USA tournament this year. I think he's got 4-5 straight double doubles. Absolutely on fire. All this by a guy averaging under 20m per game untile the last 5 games, and with the last 5 huge games, only averaging under 9 points a game and 5 rebounds. As he goes, at this point, so go the Cardinals. Gaines will be there, but Whitehead is the key, at this point. I don't think you'll see your final matchup, and if you do, I think UK will win it all. Kentucky is a different team than they were when the lost to UL. And, in all my 40 years of watching UK basketball, I don't think I've ever seen a better team, as a whole.