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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: c.hinton who wrote (29935)3/28/2003 8:08:23 AM
From: Art Bechhoefer  Respond to of 36161
 
Your fears about a longer war and its effects on countries like Egypt are justified. Egypt has tried to maintain a moderate government and, along with Jordan, signed a peace treaty with Israel. The extremists in Egypt have been trying for years to recruit political support from the masses. A prolonged war, especially with heavy civilian casualties in Iraq, could make things so difficult for the moderates that they will be driven to criticize the west and lend support to Iraq.

This scenario is such a good possibility that it very likely will drive up the price of gold.

Art



To: c.hinton who wrote (29935)3/28/2003 9:30:29 AM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Chinton. Analyst opinions are, at most, peripheral

in my work.

The idea of a very quick war victory was MOSTLY being pushed by people that had never fought in a war and liberal media types looking to inflate unrealistic expectations for a likely disappointment and consequent negative swing in US public opinion against the president."

I'm just watching events unfold without trying to do a lot of 2nd guessing.

FWIW my opinion is that this war is more like WW II than any conflict we've been in since 1945.

Isopatch