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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mannie who wrote (15988)3/30/2003 11:24:40 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
"What a monumental blunder this thing is going to turn out to be."

Yup", he said sadly. It what we've been talking about for these last few months. Everybody could see it but the emperor and his court. Guess the Eye of Sauron was too busy looking at us.

I read a story that the CIA had warned the emperor that there would be a resistance movement, and that he would have no part of it. "Oh, yeah, they be gonna greet us with dancing in the streets". Shit. Not only is this thing the easily foreseeable Pan Arab/Pan Moslem war, but these guys are being invaded. Their country is being raped. Of course they are going to fight. How many of us would pick up guns if the US got invaded? (Yeah, well, I think Lord of the Rings is British history). I'd probably hook up as a medic, but it wouldn't be beyond me to pick up a gun mice elf. "Dancing in the streets";humph; people who fled Iraq because of SH are going home in the thousands to fight us.

I saw the streamer Fri nite saying we are sending another 100,000 troops over there, and I got a chill; oh, shit, it's Viet Nam. No, it won't be 7-10 years, but it will be maybe a half million soldiers, and, if Rumsfield doesn't shut his effing mouth, we are gonna be at war with everybody all at the same time, and our kids are gonna be drafted.

Now, when this thing drags on for a few more weeks, and the daily pictures go out to the entire wirld, people are gonna be really pissed a us. (Grossly understated, I'm afraid). I see an oil embargo coming here, and maybe JW's much feared bailout of foreigner holding US assets.

On the other hand, there was a very light fog hanging over the fields of wild mustard on the way home, and the turkeys were hanging out in my neighbor's meadow. It's a good day.

Rat

PS I'm listening to Brian Williams talking about working nights (when all the action has been happening). Welcome to nights, wimp.



To: Mannie who wrote (15988)3/31/2003 1:46:13 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 89467
 
in a few months, we will be on a path just like Beirut
that was my precise thought all last week, Scooter
agreed with you 100%
much of Beirut still lies in ruins
it is the current main home of HezBollah

soon we will have to make a decision
allow hit&run guerrilla tactics to hurt us
or tolerate massively higher civilian casualties

we will justify it somehow
like "shorten the war significantly, we are not being welcomed, they still are loyal to Saddam, they are offering cover to the Fedayeen, all in the name of liberation, anything for the fuching oil fields"

in 1977 I shared an office with a Lebanese fellow at graduate school
his name was Badi B, a gentle kind bright man
he was very sad about the destruction of his home city: Beirut
he attended American Univ of Beirut
we talked about it many times
Moslems vs Christian Phalangists vs Jews
utter destruction of the “Jewel of the Mediterranean”

this is what I expect will happen to Baghdad
but for now I cannot see a 3rd participant
it could become Saddam's loyals versus Iraqi Nationals (opposed to Saddam but who have no love for US occupying force) versus Brit/US forces

all in time, utter destruction of Baghdad
we have a good head start
and easily justify it as hitting military and admin targets
we hit the television and telephone networks
last week we hinted we would not, since so clearly a civilian benefit
but we justify both easily, as Saddam propaganda tools

when the fighting comes to outlying city streets of Baghdad
you will see horrific fights with entrenched irregulars
they will do exactly what they are doing now in Basra and two other southern cities
mixing in with the local civilians
they are hitting & running against Brit and US soldiers

I fully expect Basra or another southern city to emerge as a disaster
from water shortages and food shortages
the water needs are huge on a daily basis
we will attempt to supply, but will be fired upon
eventually supplying civilians will dominate the war

we are fast approaching a new decision
kill civilians on a much larger scale
or watch our death rate rise to an alarming level

we will not back down, a sign of weakness
instead, we will become a lethal force killing innocents
only then will our true motives be laid bare for the whole world to see
a benefit to allowing more civilian deaths is the foregone need to supply them with water, food, and other essentials

WE WILL BLAME IT ON THE FEDAYEEN, A NOBRAINER

HERE OUR US OBJECTIVES:
1. SECURE OIL FIELDS BEFORE ARAB BOYCOTT OF USA
2. SECURE MILITARY AIR FIELDS BEFORE EXPULSION FROM SAUDI'S PRINCE SULTAN
3. STEM THE FLOW OF ARAB PETRODOLLARS TO EUROPE

all three will fail
the only Weapons of Mass Destruction to be seen are those used by US Forces
tomahawk cruise missiles and bunker busters
we are even talking about small atomic bombs to be dropped on Saddam's residential bunker

we will choose killing civilians, an easy decision
but we will make it look like an excruciating decision
in fact, we will not acknowledge the decision at all
it will just happen
we have too much experience with the ugly trade
and too much experience justifying it

IT WILL CAUSE THE ARAB WORLD TO ABSOLUTELY ERUPT !!!
IT WILL LEAD TO EXECUTION OF BRIT & US SOLDIERS TAKEN PRISONER

how long before we unofficially declare war on Syria ???
we have been waiting for this for years
Syria, home of HezBollah, supplying Iraq with military supplies
dont forget that Syria has been labeled a terrorist state for years
they were overlooked for some reason as part of Axis of Evil
Israel will not only cheer us on, but will take on clandestine operations, leading the way

by late April, the unpatrollable borders will be streaming with mujahedeen
US Generals already admitted "Iraqi borders are not defensible"

mujahedeen will be migrating from Pakistan and Afghanistan and Saudi and Yemen
every single Iraqi border will erupt
US Leaders vastly underestimated both the volatility of this region, and the risks at each & every border

DONT FORGET WHAT BUDDY AHMAD SAID...
"in 6-8 weeks you will see 120 degrees in daytime
your soldiers will drop like flies
by then, weapon supplies will not be the primary need
IT WILL BE WATER"

last I checked, soldiers bear 20-30 lbs of gear
Ahmad lived in Riyadh from age 13 to 18

welcome to WW3
grab your popcorn
because it will be on TV nightly
the biggest error so far though -- ALLOWING REPORTERS TO BE EMBEDDED WITH TROOPS
huge error
/ jim