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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lurqer who wrote (16154)	4/1/2003 12:58:13 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Respond to of 89467

all pieces are in place for Mother of All Stagflations govt action will prevent illiquidity from causing depressions instead, nasty stagnation is the best case scenario prolonged recession is most likely price inflation comes from averting the lengthy deep recession PPTeamwork will be fast & furious in the coming year plenty of boogeymen blame targets like Iraq soon though, I expect blame targets to be the entire Arab world they will surely come back with a strong heated emotional response my guess is it will focus on financial boycotting eventually that boycott goes to a dollar shun think of a swimming treading water PPT activity will keep the legs underwater racing away actually, the legs will become mechanized and race at 3x the humanly possible speed but above the water's surface, the swimmer will struggle to remain breathing with a visible head Austrians are watching in horror, having warned us THE MOTHER OF ALL STAGFLATIONS is coming the war only ensures several characteristics I wont go into why for each, but they pertain to heavier federal deficits, intl response with dollar, looser Congressional reins on spending and monetary laxity, slower consumer spending from CNN Effect, etc - recession will be deeper - inflation will be higher - recession will occur more quickly - dollar's death will be more certain - blame targets will be more easily identified - hatred and shame of country will be more prevalent - more radical US leadership will be with us soon / jim

To: lurqer who wrote (16154)	4/1/2003 1:42:38 PM
From: crdesign	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 89467

"we all get to go down together." You just may be the shadow of JW but Billy Joel you're not. He lyrically said it better: 'Yes we WILL ALL go down together!....' Tim

To: lurqer who wrote (16154)	4/1/2003 1:43:48 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Respond to of 89467

Eric Frye on gold bottoming here - Maybe gold is a barbarous relic after all. Or maybe the mega-rally that gold bugs dream about is just a bit slow to get under way. We have no idea, of course, but the McClellan Market Report declares, "We expect a major (we mean major) bottom in gold prices next week." McClellan bases its observations on a proprietary technical analysis with a pretty good track record. Past performance does not guarantee future results, of course. But we thought we'd pass along the information just the same. Besides, we're inclined to believe that gold is better bought than sold at current prices. - "One way to look at the recent pullbacks is that it is merely a 'refueling' phase before the next Gold price push," says Victor Hugo of Hugo Capital. "The rocket beneath the Gold price will be lit when the realization spreads that the U.S. is in a debt hole and won't grow out of it quickly...The U.S. Federal Reserve cannot continue to print trustworthy money whenever it needs to, whether in the form of uncontrolled government spending and trade deficits or otherwise."