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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (30616)	4/2/2003 3:33:17 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

That's exactly what I wrote Mar. 31st. Message 18775792 SARS scare is overblown. Jay, fear is the ultimate motivator. When in fear people stop arguing or thinking rationally. There is in fact a virus more nasty than the usual ones around here. The truth on how much virulent than the garden variety ones this one will only be known in about three months. Here is my take. Knowing that Singapore and HK are swarming with foreign expats: 1) A company full of costly expats with contracts expiring, say, December 31st, 2003, finds a way to get rid of them without breaching their contracts by claiming Force Majeure and use this virus scare to quarantine a few, after the HR dept. bombs them regulalry with precautions and advices. 2) Governments -being who they are- love to use an unexpected level of fear to divert the people's attention to a foreign threat. Quite popular in a Bust and recessionary times. See, this virus fits the bill nicely. Take off your mask. Open that window overlooking the sea down there, take a deep breath and relax I can build a list for you: 1) Mad Cow Desease 2) Global warming 3) Ozone Layer hole and and

To: TobagoJack who wrote (30616)	4/2/2003 5:25:34 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, 4% of normal influenza patients don't die from it. Neither do they spend a lot of time on ventilators. The 4% death rate in Sar Wars means it's a nasty virus. If everyone on earth had their DNA and immunity tested against it, that would mean 240,000,000 dead people and 500 million desperately sick. That's quite a lot of dead and sick people. Worse than AIDS, malaria and smallpox. Until we see the infection rate rounding out instead of climbing, we are still in the growth phase and we cannot say the fear is overblown. We haven't had the range of mutations which are likely to happen either. Maybe a more dramatic strain will show up among the increasing petatrillions of viruses now in the battle for survival. Mqurice

To: TobagoJack who wrote (30616)	4/2/2003 5:59:12 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay: pleased to hear your family of PCs growing by leaps and bounds; Re Flu: there's a flue and a flue. The virus (citing off my head, read quite some time ago) has six (?) subunits, which are much like a Rubik's cube. Plus chicken can provide some refreshing additions as well (the virus has a lot of relatives in birds). Once the combination is done, you get a flue (or a flue or a flue). Or an epidemy, like in 1918-1919. Of the U.S. soldiers who died in Europe, half of them fell to the influenza virus and not to the enemy (Deseret News). For instance. The practical problem is the delay between the outbreak and the reaction to it - need to identify the pathogen, then inject gazzillions of chickeneggs to produce the vaccine etc -. But I guess I am repeating the known... Gold fell out of bed today. What's the latest on that subject, folks? dj

To: TobagoJack who wrote (30616)	4/2/2003 5:28:41 PM
From: pogbull	Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay: Evidently Jim was pulling an April Fools joke on us, which is a relief. I was disturbed by the phone call portion of his message. From a medical perspective, I'm not sure if the reaction to SARS is overblown. But the impact on the already weak world economy could very well push us over the edge. The Amoy Gardens situation was reported on the news here in the US with video of the complex. I think the DOD is now controlling the press reports coming from the war. Temporarily, everything will have a more positive spin. This combined with PPT manipulation is almost sickening. Anything to keep the sheeple in the dark and keep the POG under control. Take Care, John