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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: energyplay who wrote (30629)	4/2/2003 2:34:08 PM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

It is a bit like statistical modeling, trying to detect the signal from noisy measurements.... What will happen once Saddam , Quasy and Uday are dead ? I think that some Iraqis (especially Kurds & Shias) will attack individual Baath party members, Fedayeen, etc. on a revenge basis. N. Korea survived the loss of the Great Leader, maybe the Ba'ath Party could to if it remained in power. There will be plenty of revenge attacks likely I think when it falls from power... the question is if there are other Lebanon style developments beyond that...

To: energyplay who wrote (30629)	4/2/2003 8:57:48 PM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

The British "patiently" "fight" in Basra. By the time the US troops declare victory they will just join the ticker tape parade. Clever guys those ones! Choose a city and do "battle" for 2 weeks. By now they are even asking the Basra fighters, who also want to come out alive, mind you, to agree on a fighting schedule: Something along these lines: British tells translator to go to the city and ask if the Fedayeen could shoot at the British only from 9 to 5PM. So they could get some sleep Translator comes back. Fedayeen says yes. But can you, please not shoot when we are praying? British: Agreed. But can you tell the Fedayeen to shoot a little high so that they don't hit us? Fedayeen: Ok, tell us how high because this fucking Russian RPGs are very very inaccurate and we don't want any accidental hit. Next day: fedayeen: we run out of RPGs grenades. Can you borrow some so that embedded reporter see some fire from us otherwise they will suspect your "battle" is over and -worse- Saddam will call us -God Forbid!- up north to fight the Yankees. We want to keep this "battle" going until the end. Know what I mean? To the end of the war up north!!! British: Ok. sending 17 pieces. Shoot one every hour or so. We put some gasoline and plastic explosives in some marked spots in this map the translator is bringing along. Shoot at them for pyrotechnic effect. It would like nice in the BBC tonigh news. Please, get the cameraman for Al-Jazeera to record it too, so that Saddam see you are "fighting". But we want one kilo of tea for each RPG grenade, one Fedayeen must come along to drink the first cup of tea so that it is not poisoned. He must come unarmed. And so it goes... I could wrote the "Catch 22" book of this war. I can tell you.