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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (30679)	4/3/2003 1:16:48 AM
From: Moominoid	Respond to of 74559

Women are at a higher risk than men and it seems uncircumcized men at higher risk than circumcized from patterns in Africa (perhaps difficult to separate out different behavior there but the Muslim/non-Muslim criterion didn't make much difference in the study I read). If someone has a ongoing relationship with someone recently infected then they are likely to get infected fairly soon as the transmission rate is much higher in the early stages. And that is the time when someone is less likely to know they are infected. But a random unprotected heterosexual encounter in the US for example would probably have a risk rate below 1:100,000 and with any selectivity away from more promiscuous populations would be even lower. The facts are somewhat at variance to the rhetoric of "everyone is at risk", "everyone should use condoms" (which does seem less than it was say 10 years ago).