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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (89899)4/4/2003 9:08:27 AM
From: Condor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
.....as paul philps posted two days ago.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Ottawa — Support for Prime Minister Jean Chrétien's handling of the Iraq war plunged in the past week,
with opinion split virtually evenly outside Quebec, where antiwar sentiment is strongest, a new Globe and
Mail/CTV poll suggests.

The poll, conducted by Ipsos-Reid, found Canadians deeply divided along regional and gender lines over
the government's decision not to participate in the war in Iraq. Nearly half of the respondents said Canada
should now join the military effort.

The poll found Mr. Chrétien had the support of 56 per cent of Canadians for his handling of the Iraqi crisis
— a drop of 10 points in a week. Outside of Quebec, his majority was razor-thin, according to the survey
conducted this week.

"Canadians are conflicted on this," Ipsos-Reid vice-president John Wright said. "They are proud that
Canada has taken an independent stand but anxious and concerned about the impact of that action."

About 73 per cent of Quebeckers approved of Mr. Chrétien's handling of the Iraq war. Outside the
province, he received 50 per cent approval and 47 per cent disapproval.

Over all, women were far more likely to support Mr. Chrétien's decision to stay out of the war — 66 per
cent of women supported the move, versus 52 per cent of men.

U.S. Ambassador Paul Cellucci fuelled Canadian concerns over Mr. Chrétien's stand this week when he
said Americans are "disappointed and upset" over Canada's decision and warned vaguely of
repercussions.

Mr. Cellucci was more conciliatory yesterday as he spoke in Fort St. John, B.C., where he emphasized
the importance of Canada-U.S. ties. He also lauded Canada's naval presence in the Persian Gulf, saying
the Canadian military is still playing a huge role helping countries that are part of the U.S.-led coalition
against Iraq.

The poll found Canadians are sensitive to his argument that Canada has turned its back on its closest
friend at a time of need.

Approximately 47 per cent of respondents agreed Canada "turned our back" on the Americans,
while 51 per cent disagreed. In Quebec, only 36 per cent agreed that the decision amounted to a failure to
support the U.S. at its time of need, while 51 per cent of those in other provinces agreed.

While hundreds of thousands of Canadians have attended antiwar rallies across the country, pro-U.S.
rallies are also starting to spring up.

Pro-coalition rallies were planned for today in Winnipeg, Ottawa and Red Deer, Alta., and in Calgary and
Vancouver tomorrow. American flags are flying off the shelves in many western cities.

Still, two-thirds of poll respondents said Mr. Chrétien's stand has shown Canada is an independent player
on the world stage.

The Ipsos-Reid poll surveyed 1,000 Canadians between March 25 and March 27 and has a margin of
error of 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Mr. Chrétien has cancelled an April 9 visit to Washington, where he was due to receive an award for his
support for national parks. A spokesman in his office said yesterday the Prime Minister did not feel
comfortable accepting an award as Americans are fighting in Iraq.

U.S. President George W. Bush's planned state visit to Ottawa may also be cancelled, though it still
remains on the schedule.

Mr. Chrétien has defended his decision to keep Canada out of the war, saying he believed United Nations
weapons inspectors were working to disarm Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.

However, in recent days, he and his senior ministers have warned their caucus to restrain from criticizing
the U.S. war effort and to rein in negative statements about Mr. Bush.

In the Ipsos-Reid poll, 59 per cent of respondents said they were glad Canada stayed out of the war,
including 83 per cent of Quebeckers. Outside of Quebec, only 52 per cent of respondents said they
were glad Canada opted out of war.

But approaching the war's two-week mark — with U.S. and British forces meeting unexpectedly
stiff resistance — 45 per cent of respondents agreed with the statement that "it is now time for
us to come aboard and offer our military support."

Again, the difference between Quebec and the rest of the country is stark. Only 34 per cent of
Quebeckers agreed it is now time to join the coalition, while Canadians outside that province were evenly
divided.

While Quebec is the most province most prone to pacifism, Alberta is by far the most hawkish.

Some 56 per cent of Albertans opposed Canada's initial decision to opt out of the war, and the same
number said it is now time join the coalition.

Canadians are clearly worried about the economic fallout of Mr. Chrétien's decision, despite assurances
from the government that there will be none. About 61 per cent of respondents agreed that the decision
will have "serious, negative economic consequences." Even in Quebec, where antiwar sentiment
dominates, half the respondents expect to pay a price for their stand.