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Pastimes : The New Qualcomm - write what you like thread. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (6136)4/6/2003 10:31:13 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Respond to of 12229
 
*** Sar Wars *** It was 26 February I first started worrying. Only 5 weeks later and the picture has worsened.

My first alert:
Message 18629116

With deaths lagging infections by nearly a week, the death rate outside the USA is more like 7% than the 4% reported. 4% has been the death rate as a proportion of the total infected until that date. Which makes no allowance for the fact that death follows infection, days later. Those who survive are really knocked around.

Mqurice



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (6136)4/6/2003 11:06:12 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12229
 
*** Sar Wars *** Cumulative deaths. Bad counting in the early days due to poor reporting from China.

x = 10 dead, rounded to the nearest 10.

26 Feb ?
..5 Mar x
12 Mar x
19 Mar x
26 Mar xx
..2 Apr xxxxx
..9 Apr xxxxxxxxx
16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxx [my guess]
.
.
.
..
.
.
.
.
.
31 Dec 2003 xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ???!! Or what??

It's not a good trend.

Mqurice


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