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To: KyrosL who wrote (31108)4/9/2003 1:00:13 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Agreed. I am trying hard to see the border between the war and the aftermath, that I dread too.

What evidence we need to agree that leads to say: Oh, there it is! This is the end of the war. And look there is the beginning of the aftermath.

This is only me thinking loud:

1) A whole week without US casualties would feel like the end of the war and the dawning of the aftermath.

2) An Iraqi -coming out of nowhere- climbs an empty box and tell the guys: "Stop this shit! I am sick of it! Aren't you, not?"

Iraqis stop. Scratch their heads. Look to each other and think. "Hey this guy talks!! Lets hear what he want to say to us."

The guy size the opportunity and start talking. They listen. And the butterfly in the Amazonian jungle causes a storm tornado in Texas, to use a Chaos Theory analogy.

But most likely -the guy above- will be a clergy in a Mosque on Friday and that doens't augur well.



To: KyrosL who wrote (31108)4/9/2003 1:09:34 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
Jay Garner: The guy the US want to impose on Iraq

www.jinsa.org/articles/view.html?documentid=1956

Bush choice to rebuild Iraq seen as pro-Israel
Jewish Telegraphic Agency

WASHINGTON -- The mission of rebuilding Iraq after the war has fallen to a general who has visited Israel and is being portrayed in the Arab world as biased in favor of the Jewish state.

The Bush administration has selected retired Lt. Gen. Jay Garner to direct the Pentagon’s Office of Reconstruction and Humanitarian Assistance for Post-War Iraq. He will coordinate the civil administration after Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein is ousted, and will aid the transition to new leadership.

A former assistant chief of staff in the Army, Garner, 64, traveled to Israel in 1998 with the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs.

Two years later he signed on to an October 2000 letter that praised Israeli restraint in the face of Palestinian violence and urged the United States not to let its role as a peace facilitator hamper its responsibilities as a friend to Israel. ‘‘Friends don’t leave friends on the battlefield," the statement read.

The appointment of Garner has enraged some Arab leaders, who claim that putting a ‘‘pro-Israel" leader in charge of the reconstruction of Iraq will only feed accusations that the war is being fought for Israel’s benefit. ‘‘People in the Arab world are completely amazed by the Iraq policy, they don’t get it, and the view that Israel is behind it all is one that is gaining strength," said Hussein Ibish, director of communications for the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee.

The concern over Garner’s relationship with Israel highlights the politically sensitive nature of regime change in Iraq, a country that has threatened Israel for decades and launched 39 missiles at Israel during the 1991 Persian Gulf War. It also shows growing concern about the Bush administration’s plans for the broader Middle East, specifically calls for democratization of the region. Ibish says bringing in an administrator who some Arabs see as pro-Israel hurts the chances for a successful regime change. Ibish said Garner’s appointment is a sign that the Bush administration either does not understand Arab public opinion or does not care.

‘‘It’s incredible that the administration would not be sensitive to what impression that would lend to other Arabs and Iraqis themselves about what sort of occupation this would be," he said.

But Jewish leaders are rejecting the charge that visiting or supporting Israel should disqualify Garner from any service in the Middle East.

‘‘If I were Jay Garner, I would be enormously offended that for visiting Israel for 10 days, I was disqualified from serving the American government in some capacity in an Arab country," said Shoshana Bryen, director of special projects for JINSA. She noted the large number of former military leaders that visit Israel each year.

Bryen says Garner ‘‘has never failed to do anything I’ve asked of him," including signing letters and advising JINSA on military matters. But, she added, Garner has not been active in JINSA since his 1998 trip, and is not among the organization’s core group of military liaisons. Malcolm Hoenlein, executive vice chairman of the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, called Garner’s support of Israel ‘‘irrelevant." ‘‘Should this administration look for someone who is anti-Israel?" Hoenlein asked. ‘‘The fact that he supports a close ally of the United States is natural."

A State Department spokesman said Garner was an excellent choice for the job because of extensive experience with reconstruction issues in the former Yugoslavia.

‘‘That’s what his detractors should be focused on," Gregg Sullivan said. ‘‘That’s the criteria for which he was chosen." Still, Ibish said, ‘‘There are lots of other people in the United States who could do this that aren’t in the pro-Israel lobby, which JINSA is a member of."

Arabs are concerned that Garner will push new leadership in Iraq that would foster a relationship with Israel, a state they see as an occupier and enemy of Arabs, Ibish said. Leaders of the Iraqi National Congress, which operates out of London and has close ties to the Bush administration, have been working with American Jewish groups in the past few months, expressing an interest in building relationships with the Israeli government.

Entifadah Qanbar, the INC’s Washington office director, told JTA last October that he believes that good relations with Israel are possible under a new regime because, he said, Saddam is the one who has a problem with Israel, not the Iraqi people.

Others dispute that analysis, saying that decades of fiercely anti-Israel indoctrination mean it will take time before the Iraqi public, under any government, would be willing to accept Israel.

In any case, the INC is just one of several groups seeking a share of power after Saddam is removed from Iraq. The group does not have a large following in Iraq, and it’s unclear how prominent a role it will play.

Bryen says it’s too early to speculate on whether Garner’s job will even give him an opportunity to work on Iraqi-Israeli relations. If so, it would mean his role would move beyond humanitarian concerns and into political matters, and would require an Iraqi leadership interested in improving ties.

‘‘If he has a political mission, it’s better for people with a political mission to have good feelings about Israel,’’ she said.

Garner retired in 1997 and became president of SY Technology, a Virginia company that provides communication and targeting systems for missiles. It was bought last year by L-3 Communications, from which Garner has taken a leave of absence.

Garner also helped lead a humanitarian effort for Kurds in northern Iraq after the 1991 war.



To: KyrosL who wrote (31108)4/9/2003 1:10:51 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Man who would be 'king' of Iraq
Oliver Morgan on Jay Garner, the hawkish head of the Pentagon agency that will be handling lucrative reconstruction deals

stopjaygarner.com

Oliver Morgan
Sunday March 30, 2003
The Observer

President, viceroy, governor, sheriff. It is difficult to know what to call Jay Garner, the retired US general who will run Iraq if and when Saddam Hussein is deposed.

The 'call me Jay' 64-year-old would prefer 'co-ordinator of civilian administration'. That's the bland description of his job heading the Office for Reconstruction and Humanitarian Assistance, the Pentagon agency preparing to govern Iraq's 23 million people in the aftermath of war, provide humanitarian support and administer the lucrative business of reconstruction.

Garners credentials are intriguing. He has a fine record in United Nations-backed humanitarian operations, playing a senior role in protecting the Kurds of northern Iraq from Saddam after the 1991 Gulf war in Operation Provide Comfort. Crucially he is now out of khaki, a vital counterpoint to General Tommy Franks, who is likely to act as a US military governor. On the other hand, he is closely linked with the group of hawks centred on US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld (who gave him his latest job), his deputy Paul Wolfowitz and Vice President Dick Cheney, who are as keen to bypass the UN in the aftermath of war as they were before it.

He appears to share their strong pro-Israeli views. He has been involved in formulating their more controversial defence policies, including the US national missile defence system that has done much to undermine the 1972 anti-ballistic missile treaty. The company he now works for is a missile specialist and makes money from systems deployed in Israel and by coalition forces in Iraq.

With this background, the aid agencies are equivocal about his role. Phil Bloomer of Oxfam says: 'Iraqis should run Iraq and in the transition the UN should be in charge, not the US. A worst-case scenario would be to put in charge of Iraqi reconstruction someone from the US or UK who was linked to the arms or oil industries.'

Garner's view of the effectiveness of the US military in a humanitarian role was made clear during Provide Comfort. The army, he said, was the merciful instrument in shaping future humanitarian operations. But Provide Comfort was carried out under very different circumstances. The war it followed was mandated by UN Security Council resolutions, as was the humanitarian mission.

Today, relations between Garner and the UN appear strained, as was clear at a frosty meeting earlier this month, when he explained his role before departing for Kuwait. 'There was no co-ordination or consultation,' said one UN official. 'That would be inappropriate from the UN's point of view because its operations are autonomous; we do not need to consult with the US. But also from the US position, because it is common knowledge that they want to go it alone without the UN.'

Despite movement towards a UN role in reconstruction through a new resolution extending the Oil For Food programme, officials have deep suspicions about US intentions, particularly those of Garner's friends. 'Powell [pro-UN Secretary of State] has already lost the battle,' said one. 'It is clear that Rumsfeld, Cheney and the rest have the ascendancy and they think, having gone it alone in the war, they should get the benefit of being seen as liberators. Garner is their man. He is a true believer.'

Beyond the strong Pentagon links of an ex-military man, Garner's political constituency is with the Republican right. His contacts with the Vice President go back to Provide Comfort, when Cheney was defence secretary to the first Bush, while his relationship with Rumsfeld has been sealed through recent close co-operation on missile defence policy.

These links have provoked unease among companies outside the US, which believe that the Americans want to carve up reconstruction contracts among themselves, regardless of any UN role. A subsidiary of Cheney's old company, Halliburton, has recently secured a deal to put out oil well fires. Halliburton, and Bechtel, another company with strong Republican links, were on a US-only shortlist for a major $900m reconstruction contract that will be overseen by Garner's office.

After strong lobbying from UK companies, the DTI agency Trade Partners UK managed to get a British secondee into Garners office, and Trade Secretary Patricia Hewitt lobbied the US government to include the British.

But contractors say ORHA is not responding to requests for contact. 'We have worries about this,' said one. 'There is a huge row going on behind the scenes about Halliburton and Bechtel winning deals, and we can't talk to the people on the ground.'

But there are wider concerns, particularly Garner's work with Rumsfeld, his commercial activities, and views on Israel. Rumsfeld headed the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States, which reported to the US Congress in 1998. The Rumsfeld Commission singled out three countries threatening the US with ballistic missile development - North Korea, Iran and Iraq - thus defining the axis of evil that underpins the US's pre-emptive strategy.

Garner served on Rumsfeld II, which effectively extended missile defence into space. He was involved in the deployment of Patriot missiles in Israel during the 1991 Gulf War, and was commander of the US Army Space and Strategic Defense Command from 1994 to 1996.

When Patriot's effectiveness was questioned at a 1992 congressional hearing, Garner dismissed critics, saying 40 per cent of engagements in Israel and 70 per cent in Saudi Arabia were successful.

However, Ted Postol of the Massachussetts Institute of Technology, who gave evidence at the hearing, said: 'We believe that these figures are too high, and that it may be the case that zero engagements in Israel were effective. Garner may have been involved in covering up the deficiencies of the system.'

Garner is now commercially involved in the latest version of Patriot, currently deployed in Iraq. He is president of SY Coleman, a missile systems contractor that gives technical advice and support on the running of the programme. Israel is now protected by a new system called Arrow. SY Coleman is involved here too: Garner helped oversee development work, a programme that Postol estimates was 80 per cent funded by the US.

Jack Tyler, SY's senior vice-president for business development, confirmed it had worked both on Patriot and Arrow. However, he said, there was no procurement, sale or royalty to the company from the systems, only advisory fees.

Tyler dismissed suggestions that Garner was hired because of his defence contacts, saying his role was that of a strategic planner. SY has strong relationships with the then US government. In 1999 it won a Star Wars contract worth up to $365m to provide the US forces with advice on space and missile defence. The SY website lists a series of government logistics and R&D contracts.Meanwhile, SY was bought by another company, L-3 Communications, last year. L-3 is the ninth-largest contributor to US political parties in the defence electronics sector. Last week it was awarded a $1.5bn contract to provide logistics services to US special operations forces.

Garner's links with Israel are not limited to missile programmes. In October 2000 he put his name to a statement that said that 'Israel had exercised remarkable restraint in the face of lethal violence orchestrated by the leadership of a Palestinian Authority'.

The organisation behind the statement was the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs, which includes Cheney and Richard Perle, another arch-hawk, among its advisers past and present.

Only last week Perle resigned from the chairmanship of a key Pentagon committee advising Rumsfeld, after it emerged that he had struck a deal with bankrupt telecoms company Global Crossing under which he stood to receive up to $725,000. The deal is being reviewed by a government group that includes Defense Department officials.

There is no suggestion that Garner might feel similarly compromised by past association and some find the anti-Garner arguments overstated.

Eric Schwartz of Washington's respected Council on Foreign Relations think-tank says: 'I am not sure this is a US go-it-alone guy. He understands the critical importance of it not being the military doing the nation-building.' Schwartz believes that, after an interim period, the UN will take control of critical issues in Iraq's future, such as drawing up a constitution and overseeing elections.

It will be for Washington to decide whether the Sheriff of Baghdad wears a US or a UN star. His record suggests he would be equally happy in either. Its how he uses the badge that counts.