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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (121)	6/21/2003 10:22:08 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1070

Congratulations Mq on being the most accurate and earliest out of all the epidemiologists and other prognosticators, who at the time were talking about death rates of 4% or even 3% and some saying 2%. You were spot on that it would be between the very unlikely 4% and the maximum 10%. Your guess of 7% was the closest at the time. But even that was low and your top estimate of 10% is going to be the outcome. who.int Well done. Would you like a job as an epidemiologist? Mqurice