Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LTK007 who wrote (101)	4/15/2003 9:14:32 AM
From: Biomaven	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 4232

last 6 deaths in HK broke pattern, they were not elderly; but were young. The disease is pretty puzzling. One mystery is why Canada has had 10 deaths out of 100 cases, and the US has had no deaths at all. Here is the list of cumulative statistics by country: who.int Here's a map by country: who.int And here's the epidemic curve so far: who.int (Note that I think this graph is somewhat distorted by delayed reporting of cases, particularly from mainland China). Here's the Hong Kong curve: who.int Note that the right hand side of the graph (early April) will still rise some as new cases are diagnosed and their date of origin is determined. Even given that, this doesn't yet seem like the exponential growth you would see in a true epidemic. We'll know better in a few weeks. Peter

To: LTK007 who wrote (101)	4/15/2003 9:23:23 AM
From: scaram(o)uche	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 4232

>> is this worrisome? << If it holds up, certainly. Kids get all sorts of stuff because they haven't got an immune system with "memory" against bad stuff. Polio was a disease of developed countries. Kids in developing countries were exposed to the virus, playing on the floor of their homes, at a time when passive antibody from their moms was still around and protective. But someone from a developed country wandered in, and...... presto, a terrible disease was unleashed. It's natural that kids get sick with a bug at higher frequency. But it's also natural that their "ready to leap into action" T cell system will be protective, short of death. But some doctors in China were using immunosuppressants (steroids) as treatment, believing that it's the body's response to the virus that is the "death" culprit. In this case, progression could be most rapid in kids. Looks like a terrible bug to me. One place that people will be looking, in a hurry, is the cell surface marker that this bug uses to enter cells. If you cruise around this site, you'll see the sort of insights that scientists are throwing into the battle..... "how does a virus contribute to disease, beyond just killing infected cells?"....... chemocentryx.com (that was just a random thought, not something that points in any investment-related stuff)