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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (95576)4/22/2003 12:40:53 PM
From: RealMuLan  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 281500
 
May your wish come true<g>

More and more Chinese students return to China after graduating here, because 1) They consider China is more promising in 21st century than the US; 2) jobs are very hard to find here, and more and more companies are not sponsoring H-1B now; 3) ever since 9.11, the foreign student visa has almost stopped issuing. So I guess you will have to convince J.Ashcroft (sp?). the head of Justice Dept. to start doing something for your wish come true; 4) the US anti-H-1B force is growing strong.

As for the birth rate in the US, it is popped up the Mexican origin immigrants. So why not just support Bush's suggestion that recruiting Mexico into the US Social Security Fund, and sure that would make the SS fund last much longer through the baby boomer retirement<g>



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (95576)4/22/2003 12:42:24 PM
From: Dennis O'Bell  Respond to of 281500
 
>>>> I wonder how much longer the US can afford to do this? I would think the US has to withdraw most of them by the baby boomers retire in waves, and that won't be too long, another 15 years or so.

Actually the US gets lot of skilled immigrants from India, China, Europe and our birth rate is at or above the replacement rate so the US will have plenty of skilled workers. So we will likely be able to afford whatever is necessary to insure stability in the important areas of the world.


In addition to the demographic fallacy you cite, there's always the assumption that technology will stand absolutely still. (And that includes military technology.) Very few such predictions in the 15 year or more time frame have been very accurate in any case.