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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Original Mad Dog who wrote (95641)4/22/2003 5:17:52 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 281500
 
So I think it is entirely realistic to think about what would happen if GDP went down. That's usually what causes empires to become vulnerable.

That much is true, but the cause is more often slow rot from within then an outside shock. Or sometimes a rival power grows economically and militarily to challenge the top dog. Either can take a very long time. Our current near stagnant economic conditions aren't severe enough and haven't gone on long enough to suggest a real rot, and any other power is at least decades away from growing to be a real challenge to the US. The Roman's rot took centuries, The British where tiny for a country trying to dominate the world, and IMO the Soviets system contained the seeds of its own rot from the beginning.

Tim