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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: aerosappy who wrote (19488)4/23/2003 8:50:13 AM
From: Sharp_End_Of_Drill  Respond to of 23153
 
Aero, I'm sticking by my guns that a low VIX is a reliable indicator in a bear market.

I think it often gives an IT signal anywhere from two to six weeks in advance - so markets could cool anytime, or we could continue to rise for more than a month.

Sharp



To: aerosappy who wrote (19488)4/23/2003 11:35:05 AM
From: kodiak_bull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
OT: Dear Abby

Dear Abby:

I am a crack dealer in New Jersey who has recently been diagnosed as a carrier of the HIV virus. My parents live in a suburb of Philadelphia and one of my sisters, who lives in Bensenville, is married to a transvestite.

My father and mother have recently been arrested for growing and selling marijuana and are currently dependent on my other two sisters, who are prostitutes in Jersey City.

I have two brothers. One is currently serving a non-parole life sentence in Attica for murder of a teenage boy in 1994. The other brother is currently being held in the Wellington Remand Center on charges of sexual misconduct with his three children.

I have recently become engaged to marry a former Thai prostitute who lives in the Bronx and is still a part time "working girl" in a brothel. Her time there is limited as we hope to open our own brothel with her as the working manager. I am hoping my two sisters would be interested in joining our team. Although I would prefer them not to prostitute themselves, it would get them off the street, and hopefully, the heroin habits.

All thing considered, my main problem is this. I love my fiancée and look forward to bringing her into the family and I certainly want to be totally honest with her.

Should I tell her about my distant cousin who is French?

Signed,

Worried About My Reputation



To: aerosappy who wrote (19488)4/23/2003 11:44:30 AM
From: kodiak_bull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
Aero,

It may not be time to go, but it's certainly time to get ready. By that I mean, all long positions should be taken with a trader's eye, not an investor's. Profits should be harvested in a timely fashion, as a sinking tide will strand all boats. I've been buying puts and will probably buy some more as the froth in the bathtub (along with the rhetoric on the Yahoo boards) gets incredibly high. I think the VIX gives up its signal after at least two bounces in this area; I don't know if it's going to be a VIX of 21, or 19, or 23, but it's important to caress the smooth curve of its delightful bottom--

--ahem--

excuuuuse me. I got a little carried away. In any event even after it bottoms for a few days there's generally (imhe) been another coupla days to do what a man's gotta do (run for cover). But it's a coming. I can feel it.

Gold is looking attractive again. On the Iraq front, I think all the good news (victory) is out, uncertainty, political struggle, evil forces and religious fervor can make the occupation painful. I still think it's worth the candle, but the clean part of the deal is done. Now we have to work extremely hard and fast to pass the ball to the Iraqis and let them go through the birthing pains of democracy. It's unclear whether that baby will be born healthy, unhealthy or stillborn.

Kb