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To: hueyone who wrote (156304)	4/23/2003 10:53:02 AM
From: Oeconomicus	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 164684

Huey, besides being encouraged by Iran as well as their own clerics, who have been spewing anti-American rhetoric so long they don't know anything else, the Shiites are unsurprisingly exercising their newfound political voice in Iraq. The government will be a somewhat precarious balance between majority Shiites and minority Sunnis and Kurds (and a few smaller groups). Shiites in Iraq have been an oppressed majority for so long, it's not surprising that they feel insecure. The Kurds are the only ones openly pro-American right now - remember, many of them have been free of Saddam for a few years already. Things (including the rhetoric) will settle down as talks progress toward a new government and as rebuilding and aid restore the basic necessities of day-to-day life. JMO, Bob

To: hueyone who wrote (156304)	4/23/2003 11:51:40 AM
From: GST	Respond to of 164684

I tend to agree that it is way too early to make a call on where Iraq is headed. My overarching concern is that the White House was so willing to buy into an extraordinarily simplistic view of how things would unfold after the initial shooting and looting was over. We backed Iraq when they gassed the Shiites because we feared the growth of fundamentalist political power. The notion that democracy would spring up out of the desert and that Shiite fundamentalists would be easily discouraged from becoming a dominant political force is totally unrealistic.