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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (96055)	4/24/2003 4:03:58 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 281500

You're putting too much emphasis on "rogue" States. You are dealing with angry people. Their government is irrelevant. The only thing that is going to work is a human solution not a legal or military solution. Here's an easy example. Assume Arafat agrees to everything Israel wants. Do you think that will solve anything? Palestinians as a people are not going to agree no matter what their government says. So invariably some of them will continue to terrorize Israel...and no, at this stage I don't see any easy solutions.

To: michael97123 who wrote (96055)	4/24/2003 4:07:58 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Maybe its time to turn off the oil again. Damned if I know, though I think the talks were the first step in a lengthy diplomatic dance. The NK leadership undoubtedly knows that it would be suicidal for it to attack SK in any form whatsoever or to attack any US interest. I think this is the basic assumption we have to make; it all flows from there. A war would hurt our allies and us but would be the end of the NK regime. I suppose the question from the NK standpoint is whether we would subject SK to a lot of damage and lose the lives of a lot of our troops simply to engage in a costly effort to effect regime change. The answer has to be no. If they think that we are capable of going down this road, then they are more delusional and dangerous than I thought. The NK leadership has always engaged in maximalist, overheated rhetoric. I hope that the latest pronoucements are simply more from this Baghdad-Bobian mold. My gut feeling is that they're a bit scared, want to engage in diplomacy to protect the regime, but are bull-headed and want to sound tough instead of conciliatory at the start of talks. BWTDIK.