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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (96658)	4/28/2003 1:48:58 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 281500

There is no way that Iran can discourage Iraqi Islamists from returning to Iraq. This is neither politically nor physically feasible. As to what is in the Cleric's best interest, a neutral and not anti-Iran is in their best interest. If Iraq becomes too much of an Islamist, they lose a chunk of their power base which they cannot afford. If Iraq is split apart and becomes another Afghanistan, again the regional instability will not be in their interest. There is a very fine line they like to walk. You are assuming they do anything to hurt US. But they are after their own gains and not after a loss to US. Sometimes these two objectives are the same. Other times it is not the case.