Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (312)	4/29/2003 3:56:30 AM
From: FaultLine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1070

spraying an aerosol of tiny droplets onto your dinner. who among us has not witnessed the spew of spittle from the boy (or girl, or dad, or great-grandmother) blowing out the candles on the Birthday Cake... --fl@thanksjustacupofhemlockforme.com

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (312)	4/29/2003 2:15:06 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 1070

who.int x = 10 deaths. Cumulative deaths 26 Feb ? ..5 Mar x 12 Mar x 19 Mar x 26 Mar xx ...2 Apr xxxxx ...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .29 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [actual 353] Deaths for the week. x = 10 deaths. z = early days, fewer than 10 per week. 26 Feb z ..5 Mar z 12 Mar z 19 Mar z 26 Mar x ...2 Apr xxx ...9 Apr xxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxx .30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxee [x = actual to 29th ; e = my estimate] In Singapore, China and Hong Kong, where there are real numbers to deal with, the death rate seems horribly higher than my original estimate of 7% [at a time when the experts were reporting a 4% or 3% death rate]. Now it's obvious that for Chinese anyway, the death rate is a lot worse. Over 10%. Something like 15%. Their herbal remedies and traditional medicine don't seem to be doing it for them. Or they have some special vulnerability. Smoking too much? I wonder if smokers' death rate is much higher than non-smokers. I haven't seen that reported yet. I wonder if Chinese cultural habits like sharing food on rotating tables, all spitting on the food as it rotates, have stopped. I suppose that's not enough different from European habits of passing the peas before spitting on them to explain the difference in death rate. Now that the death rate has been realized as NOT being 3% and that this is a world-record attempt on human catastrophe, it's being taken more seriously in China. But India isn't worried yet, though they have cases and I bet a lot more. They might just go with the flow, figuring they've got a lot of people anyway and can't do much about it. Vietnam did though and seems to have stopped it with a 10% death rate. 10% of China and 10% of India would be 250 million people dead. That beats the Black Death in total numbers, though not in proportion. If China and India are full of it, then people in other countries will treat Chinese and Indians like lepers = persona non grata. Aircraft will not be flying from those countries with biological warfare Trojan Horse humans into non-infected countries. They'll be shot down before they enter national airspace. One plane could kill more than Osama and Atta's gang in the Twin Towers. We haven't seen the last of this, despite good progress in holding the line outside China. The graphs look bad. Mqurice