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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: frankw1900 who wrote (96690)4/28/2003 3:10:25 PM
From: michael97123  Respond to of 281500
 
Distract the nation from internal woes with foreign adventures perhaps. May be part of it also. mike



To: frankw1900 who wrote (96690)4/28/2003 3:23:30 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Respond to of 281500
 
> It can be argued the more clerics that move to Iraq, the more strengthened the Iranian hardliners are in Iran as they lose internal opposition.

The argument has been that Iran is trying to build another hardline Islamic regime in Iraq. So how in the world are they the opposition?

The hardliners are under attack from 3 fronts in Iran: the nationalists who don't care about Islam; the Islamist reformers who believe in Islamic rule but want it softened; and the ultra-religious group who oppose the theocracy on religious grounds. The last thing the hardliners need is to fight their legitimacy because Qum is no longer the center of Shia.

> What Iraqi liberation has done is give more liberal clerics a place to retreat when things get too rough in Iran

Things were never "too rough" for liberal clerics, especially the Iraqi ones. Nor are they all as liberal as you think. Sadr for example is a thing into himself. And if Iran had wanted to assasinate those clerics, it would have done so (smartly of course) while they were in Iran.

> The violence of the un-modern Shiite Iranian and Saddamite regimes has left a bad precedent.

The two most violent groups are Sadr and Dawa. Both are fairly pure Iraqi groups.