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Pastimes : Thoroughbred Horse Racing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Freedom Fighter who wrote (375)4/30/2003 12:09:16 PM
From: Nemer  Respond to of 1269
 
Wayne ..

will NOT disagree with the Illinois Derby being a good one.....
recall last year .. WarEmblem was a leading choice for me, and I did well betting him to win
mostly based on his I/D performance

BUT

the ones I've listed, as well as my other points of
a) keep'em in
OR
b) chunk'em out

have "statistical validity" for ME...

I never use any info in my handicapping *(recall now, I only bet verrrrrrrrry selectively) that isn't MORE than 80% correct.

For the lurkers here ..
I limit my wagers to the following races

a) six fl CLAIMING sprints (my FAV)
b) turf @ any distance any conditions
c) some black type stakes (mayhaps a couple of dozen or so)

I rarely bet on anything besides these three kinds, or, more accurately, more than $20bucks on any beyond the scope of these three kinds......

I did, after all make a two dollar throwaway and eventual loser win bet @ Turf Paradise in the sixth ... I think it was the sixth .. heh heh heh ..
lost it anyhoo .... lol

I had liked the preceeding race, and had an alert sent to me when he ran again ....
so, I bet the two dollars .... <big spender me> as when I logged onto the site .. he was going off at 7/5 .. SO I backed up/down to $2 .....gggg

he did place, beaten by the fav @ 6/5

and,
I normally bet straight ONLY

a few exactas, and verrrrry few tris , an occasional dd ...

so ..
I'll have to leave out the Illinois Derby from my list for a few more years ..... <gggg>