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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (96941)	4/30/2003 4:58:46 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 281500

I do not disagree with you much. The situation among the Shi'a is fluid, and the fact that most Iranians are youngsters, and have substantial interest in the West, means that the social foundation of the Iranian state is unsteady. You are correct, I think, to emphasize the lack of stature of the pro- Iranian Iraqis. I would add that their are rival schools of Shi'a thought, and that the Khomeini version of clericalism is alien to Shi'ite tradition. Just as the hyper- orthodox Jews do not recognize Israel without the Messiah, so many Shi'a do not recognize a shariah state without the return of the Messianic Imam. This creates the possibility of a secular state that is congenial to some portion of the Shi'a...