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To: Sergio H who wrote (1815)	4/30/2003 4:39:27 PM
From: Ditchdigger	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23958

Not sure which way the ball will bounce off of my favorite chart..I've missed 3% gains this week sitting in cash, but will stay in cash for the entire week and see..Funny things going on gold up, us$ crashing to 4 year lows,bonds holding steady as the stock markets have climbed,,and have you seen the German dax lately, what a rebound for a country who's economy looks very gloomy.. signed, confussed..;^)DD the chart bumped up one year mrci.com actually it was the S&P that really got whacked during this period in 69-70

To: Sergio H who wrote (1815)	4/30/2003 11:23:45 PM
From: Ken W	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23958

Sergio I've made no comment on Ditch's chart as I don't agree that one can compare today's market to that of 30 years ago. There is entirely different dynamics to today's economy. Interest rates in the 70's and 80's were considerably higher than now. We have developed a global economy that was just a fledgling in that past time. A long and unpopular war was just ending and soon after, Carter thru the country into in inflationary sprial bordering on total stupidity (remember certificates of deposit paying 24% in 1981?). The investing public no longer looks at long term (10 to 20 years), but instead to the IPO pop, vested options, and the daytrade. I'm as guilty as the next guy, but that is how the game is played. SOOOOOOOOOOOO, to me the 32 year comparison is a waste of time. Ken

To: Sergio H who wrote (1815)	5/8/2003 6:48:27 AM
From: Ditchdigger	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23958

<Divergence on deep slide coming up?> Don't know if we've really seen any divergence yet, 'cept for a bit of time lagging. Although the '70 S&P chart shows a clear spread double top at the beginning of April. Maybe a market timing op? BWDIK, I've had to count on luck! <lol> and comparing the '70 S&P chart to the present..... heck, thats just chickens blood, and reading bones & stones...or is it.. ;^)DD mrci.com PS: have you noticed all the Analyst' upgrades lately, things are great, right<g>? I don't think these guys were slapped on the wrist hard enough for their past misdoings..Lot of these fellas need some jail time. I see the bullish argument as one of, things are still shitty, so maybe we'll get another rate cut, not a very good reason for a bull market,IMO