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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (57)	4/30/2003 3:37:46 PM
From: LindyBill	Respond to of 793928

That's why whatshisname, the former California governer, Pete . . . .'s immigration policies were such a disaster for them. Pet Wilson. Californa is a classic example of how not to run a political organization for the Reps. The Social Conservatives are in control of the Party apparatus, and rich kids keep running for Governor. The media market there is the most expensive in the country. So spread out. Wilson let the base go after the immigrants, and that killed the Reps with the Latin vote. Rove is a master at handling this vote, and I the Reps have only one way to go in California. The latest thinking is to run Wilson against Boxer. Here is a preliminary rundown of what's up for grabs in 04. From a conservative blog. Analysis of election 2004 and hopes for Republican gains in national and state government. U.S. Senate Current Makeup: 51 R, 48 D, 1 Ind Republican Goal: 4-seat gain Democrats will defend 19 senate seats in 2004, several of them vulnerable to a strong challenger; Republicans will defend 15, most of them safe. Key targets include Democrats John Edwards (NC), Ernest "Fritz" Hollings (SC), Harry Reid (NV), Chuck Schumer (NY), Patty Murray (WA) and Barbara Boxer (CA). Vulnerable Republicans include Arlen Specter (PA), Lisa Murkowski (AK), and the seat of Peter Fitzgerald (IL), who is expected to announce on April 15th that he will not seek reelection. Several other senators are considering retirement, though only Sen. Zell Miller of Georgia has announced yet. They include Democrats Bob Graham (FL), John Edwards (NC), Hollings, Daniel Inouye (HI), and John Breaux (LA). An open seat would likely yield a competitive race. Republicans John McCain (AZ), Specter, and Murkowski face possible primary challenges. U.S. House of Representatives Current Makeup: 229 R, 205 D, 1 Ind Republican Goal: 6-seat gain All House seats are up for election in 2004, but only a portion are in competitive districts -- most districts strongly lean toward one political party. Republicans will attempt to defend a large crop of freshman legislators while mounting strong challenges to about 20 Democratic incumbents, half of whom are relatively moderate Blue Dog Democrats in conservative districts. About 25 members retire each year, and those seats will also be strongly contested -- at least in the primaries! Governors Current Makeup: 26 R, 24 D Up for Election: 5 R, 6 D Republican Goal: gain of 4 (total 2003 & 2004) Only a third of governor's seats are up in 2004, and many are in small states -- recently elected governors in New Hampshire and Vermont (each serves only 2-year terms) will be favored but competitive, and several of the other races are shaping up to be barn-burners. The following states will elect governors in 2004: Vermont, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Montana, Washington, Indiana, West Virginia, Delaware, Utah, North Carolina, and Missouri. angelfire.com