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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (584)5/1/2003 3:27:28 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4912
 
Hi DAK,

Lot's of bag holders out there. Wonder what they'll do?

As I see it, the "bag holders" have to make the choice between the lesser of two evils.

Their first choice is to cut off the credit spigot to the USA and its consumers. This is not likely to happen, because to do so means that their own industries would suffer irreparable damages as there are no other consumers standing in the "on deck" circle to take the place of USA consumers.

The second choice is to continue the facade of financing the burgeoning credit account deficit in the USA. And then hold their breath, cross their fingers, and pray for the best. This is the most likely choice, because if something bad happens, foreign banks and governments can shift the blame to an anonymous face in the USA while not jeopardizing their own standing with the home folks.

Just a guess, but I think the shell game will continue until the pea disintegrates...

KJC



To: LLCF who wrote (584)5/1/2003 7:55:36 AM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4912
 
It's interesting that while the US consumer has been proping up profits around the world, US corperate profits have been real crap. And while those that 'pooh pooh' the 'debt worrywarts' hold up debt service [due to low rates] as reasonable [most likely so they won't have to look at those aggregate debt numbers] in fact the guys that pay the wages [US corperations] saw annual interest charges move from $108B to $193B during the '96-2002 period while profits were flat...

bernstein must subscribe to richebacher <g/ng>



To: LLCF who wrote (584)5/1/2003 8:15:05 AM
From: re3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4912
 
<<<Lot's of bag holders out there. Wonder what they'll do?

reverse mortgages on houses seem to be a frequently advertised product up here...



To: LLCF who wrote (584)5/1/2003 11:29:08 AM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4912
 
Dak:

Could not have stated the case better. Hard to understand how folks just don't want to see the storm clouds on the horizon.

Best, Earlie