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To: im a survivor who wrote (10660)5/2/2003 3:08:13 PM
From: Sig  Respond to of 13815
 
<<<Ok, folks, let me know what you think>>
I think the Nas has just crossed the magic 1500 number which I have looked for for years as indicating we have a rally
Should be much safer to buy stock and in addition, could get some really sudden upswings like close to 90 points when more people are convinced its time to leave the 1+% Cd/MM returns
.Sig@gambersall.com



To: im a survivor who wrote (10660)5/2/2003 4:04:57 PM
From: Sig  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
<<.Ok, folks, let me know what you think.>>
Well you have too many stocks in the list There is zero safety in numbers, if only one of the well knowns tanks it will take out the profits.
With no DD , I would be inclined to go with cvs,erts fnm,hd,hdi,mrk, and cost. Mostly on the basis they do not appear to be overpriced
A long term QQQ (do they have leaps?) looks very good , maybe trade it
No time to look at details of those stocks
Warren Buffett has a party this weekend. Keep in mind his game is far different than what we are playing
Hes dealing with people who already have lots of money. No risky techs or rapid gains. Solid stuff which he bought as low as possible. So that there is something left in future years. Hes good at that. perhaps the best and also entertaining. .
Im going with stuff like Fdry, Beas, Jnpr, something that moooooooooooooooooooooooooves
Sig



To: im a survivor who wrote (10660)5/2/2003 11:06:46 PM
From: Sig  Respond to of 13815
 
Ok, folks, let me know what you think.

As a start I would make the following 2 year comparisons, and would find that aaii,bud,g,cvs,cps,hdi should be eliminated for lack of performance, or downward drift.
Those to consider keeping are agi,tsco,igt,jcom,hd,cost and erts
( agi,tsco, and igt are my comparison stocks to beat or get close to)
Notice I only did 1/2 your list up to KKD , so you could eliminate some more
This is just a start, to get the eyeballs looking at the more progressive stocks
After doing the entire list on the 2 year chart ( notice I did not eliminate HD despite being down, as its been moving up) I would compare these on 6 mos and three month charts and again eliminates some poor ones, toss
in some new stuff like nfi,tma, fdry, beas, taro,teva,etc
This takes a bit of practice, since the stock could have been going down but has started a consistant upward
trend for several weeks which is often a good sign to consider it
Good luck
Sig .

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