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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (399)	5/7/2003 12:51:57 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1070

Sars still gaining ground in China. It's mayhem! who.int x = 10 deaths. Cumulative deaths 26 Feb ? ..5 Mar x 12 Mar x 19 Mar x 26 Mar xx ...2 Apr xxxxx ...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ..6 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [478] Everyone else, excluding Taiwan, seems to be winning. Even Hong Kong seems to be getting on top of it. More or less. Meanwhile, on the death rate, we know that 7% was wishful thinking! At a 50% death rate [more or less] for those over 70 [or maybe 60] the demographic change and economic impact, if Sars gets loose next winter, will be major. Old people use a lot of medical services and they occupy single person empty-nest homes. A major infection rate would: Reduce future medical expenses Cut old age pension payments Put houses on the market Mqurice